Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce8ea180fd17b25a2a060c336eaea1385098396dfcf152723486ecd5352e3ff8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 19c | 8,010$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.9 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Over | 64c | 4,229$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.31 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 64c | 1,875$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 1,834$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.9 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 77c | 993.99$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.82 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 25c | 791.25$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 64c | 596.88$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 29c | 545.23$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.91 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 3c | 449.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 36c | 295.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 73c | 286$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 285.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 65c | 276.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 36c | 189.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 36c | 163.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c308backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 72c | 157$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 73c | 152.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Under | 14c | 145.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 17c | 144.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Over | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 18c | 131.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 62c | 121.07$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 36c | 99.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 64c | 90.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 64c | 78.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9932…f309backed Under | 37c | 70.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 38c | 68.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Under | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Over | 65c | 61.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…48c2backed Over | 64c | 57.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…cf4cbacked Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Over | 64c | 38.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 64c | 38.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 33.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfe…f954backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Over | 65c | 30.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e11…834cbacked Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…e744backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Over | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…f849backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 71c | 14.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 77c | 13.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.