TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,907
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,907 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c9,350$6,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,262.646,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under80c6,128$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9007650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over28c4,999$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.610924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Over51c3,232$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.842839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Under70c1,763$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.33063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Over30c1,667$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.675335.8%19 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over19c1,404$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.2913054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c1,239$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.24,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Over26c1,173$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.62429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+99.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,138$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.182,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over20c1,021$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.4311125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under66c839.89$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.515246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over48c748.52$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.528050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a9a…c308backed Over60c614.42$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.782373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over41c600.63$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.944862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over52c582.48$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5319259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09a5…b5c3backed Over23c543.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.48944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over23c530.43$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4322244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under6c479.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.754914.3%7 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Over23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7824630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over33c421.11$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.1429343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under64c407.77$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.972454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over22c400$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31237342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over43c392$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Under79c388$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.5213565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.887245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Under73c331$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.049561.1%58 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Under77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2312740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over59c278.45$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2417161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under60c246.51$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1487657.9%44 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under76c243.17$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under57c241.46$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.451,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c203.97$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.981,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over46c189.13$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.133650%18 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over47c172.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0119853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Over22c158.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.692142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over32c154.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.492846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over22c154$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Over22c128$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.844447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d5…173dbacked Under66c108$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Over48c105.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.874955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over24c104.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1714431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5625049.6%124 W · 126 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…8cffbacked Over25c101.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.113458.8%20 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+55%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0605…1634backed Under78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over52c90.05$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7820143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8c…8293backed Under68c88.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5220336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Over51c78.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.531553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.439246.7%43 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over54c67.37$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9910046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…a2d6backed Over42c66.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.531384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+73.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over31c65.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.226248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over47c65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.26749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over22c62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.361,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Under52c61.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+111%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under68c58.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over30c56.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6716731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Under79c54.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435438.9%21 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2816045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0218444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fae…688abacked Over60c50.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.081145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc709…0a40backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed Under60c49.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.93259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over51c49.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.141160.1%247 W · 164 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked Over36c47.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.222857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Over44c45.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.572272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under67c45.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4827948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8af5…cd81backed Over61c42.68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.851070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over48c41.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4314463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64c7…ffd7backed Under65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251650%8 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3616236.4%59 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x480a…e3c9backed Under78c36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.081154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b9…f744backed Under71c35.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Over36c33.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.333336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c77…bde7backed Under69c33.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232584%21 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d19…8b58backed Under78c33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-48.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over63c31.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.982665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.754744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under79c31.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8211460.5%69 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e6…a6edbacked Under68c30.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Over34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.89541.1%39 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.225256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda4…d5dbbacked Under60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.92259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4546…a3f2backed Under69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Under78c28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.84850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…7627backed Under80c26.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.32748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bb1…f87dbacked Over46c26.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.095244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Under78c25.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204553.3%24 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.19per pick72cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed Under74c25.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.011435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under62c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4631747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c85…f2f4backed Under65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under76c21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.861,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6acd…d37cbacked Under75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Under79c19.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.06666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Over58c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9810554.3%57 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.