TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,657
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,657 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c13,032$7,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,066.446,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under40c11,898$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,724.8545936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over41c4,878$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.0219239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over40c4,781$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.4637054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00023926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.7813837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6716753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over60c1,552$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.823545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over42c1,519$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.268050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under58c1,419$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.231758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over41c1,324$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.0511125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb7…02d8backed Over41c1,204$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.421414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-68.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Over42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.487218.1%13 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+74.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf6…c75bbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under41c902.39$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.51,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under58c849.98$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.9921656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over74c805.62$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.621643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over40c750.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.3360728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over68c737.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.654862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c697.84$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.5296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over50c650$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32529343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde8b…fdb0backed Under60c590.32$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.1980%0 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over66c574.68$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.753650%18 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under60c505.93$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.5617544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under59c504.47$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.148655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.810343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09a5…b5c3backed Over42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.19944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under59c468$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.123036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under60c398.41$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.0537342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over69c350$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.53868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c343.93$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.84,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Under58c299.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1742740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over41c277.37$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6522244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under34c267.65$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over73c250.52$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.698259.8%49 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Over42c238.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3224630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e0…00cbbacked Over42c238.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Under60c220$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325438.9%21 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over68c208.89$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8920864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Under60c206.67$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12419259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under43c186.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c185.03$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.631,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over56c178.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.642433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over63c175.7$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6219853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4110252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2e…44c3backed Over40c149.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.991145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over56c136.54$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4831747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over44c131$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.366462.5%40 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+44.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over42c119.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.525147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa626…5ca1backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.05580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+146.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over51c115.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5543241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…ef3abacked Over72c112.42$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6052454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under39c95.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3832049.1%157 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Over42c94.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8110846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3240…7ce9backed Over66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.911540%6 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under42c90.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9513841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over64c90$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3220143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.976248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23cc…e602backed Under61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over55c81.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3916149.1%79 W · 82 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under52c80.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8527948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over57c79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.078648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over66c75.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8611053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1735134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9755955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c65.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.282,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Over41c64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.763145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under44c62.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4921049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over42c59.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6414431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under43c52.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.651625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9542862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Over78c48.87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.754748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.784052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.624951%25 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under59c45.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2739052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under59c42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb56…efa6backed Under36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed Under60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc58b…cba8backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+49.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under59c39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.019053.3%48 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over59c37.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.297350.7%37 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.597659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over59c36.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8425750.2%129 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0541760.2%251 W · 166 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over40c34.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.641,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234d…e8e1backed Under47c33.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e16…41f8backed Under60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Over41c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.884266.7%28 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb1…f87dbacked Over78c31.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.975244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9014…b6abbacked Under60c30.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.511233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab50…6e96backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc906…6e03backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Under59c28.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173250%16 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…dbb5backed Over71c28.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…04d0backed Under43c25.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.171258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.