TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c21,655$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0554,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c10,571$5,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,552.083,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under39c6,903$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,210.2583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over59c5,771$3,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,414.2420857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over47c5,688$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.132040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over75c5,545$4,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,158.8417731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over60c5,007$2,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,985.353342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over42c3,447$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.86437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under24c2,845$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.522,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over60c2,717$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.523040%12 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over68c2,461$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.655149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Over53c2,200$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e8…9a67backed Over40c2,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c1,549$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.811,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Under27c1,490$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.93151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over58c1,469$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.191631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over76c1,294$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.711369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over17c1,286$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5510418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b3…c131backed Over70c1,279$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.3520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over73c1,222$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.9799933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under33c1,198$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.5560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over58c1,046$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.041442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under77c960.58$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.932665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over55c919.99$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over58c840.35$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.46848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over61c819.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.29564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under43c797.35$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.4915446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c793.51$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.4361657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under43c752.83$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.113138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over46c693.89$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.1922553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under46c683.84$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.192642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under24c682.47$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ac…3f7cbacked Over75c630.75$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.061369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Over49c629.99$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over31c594$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1424344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under49c593.51$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.691070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+60.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd73c…21f2backed Over58c549.59$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Over59c534.19$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.1715832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc74f…a9cebacked Over72c516$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over75c480.96$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.724146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over75c470.7$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.02560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over75c464.64$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.3290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over56c452.68$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1115451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under43c449.45$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.295829.3%17 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c439.9$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.531,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under50c407.4$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.71361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over36c404.63$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.331747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe168…e559backed Over74c400.1$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x654d…ba8fbacked Under25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf1b…09aebacked Over77c384.23$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.86785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Over58c372.48$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.291747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked Under44c339.58$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce0f…5c9ebacked Over58c338.51$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.33425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Over59c334.98$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over52c326.44$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.213154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Over76c324.21$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.42653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under23c308.82$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.7648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Over77c307.81$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.011471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over70c307.17$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1345841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Under25c305.6$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.22020%4 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-52.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Over58c304.49$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over39c300.47$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9210127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1593262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over64c293.52$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8542458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fc…41dfbacked Over58c283.97$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6795…4a4cbacked Over59c282.25$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.532157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over73c269.53$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.766852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over60c260$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over51c257.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.122536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over77c256.41$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.443762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under44c254.75$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.154942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under42c249.5$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7122753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Over58c240.34$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c236.95$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c220$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12242158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over59c218.12$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.763259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over77c216.92$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.369262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over56c216.74$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.216149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under59c215.56$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3822446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under25c211$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2528045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd691…0c27backed Over51c209.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.773148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x181b…4941backed Over66c208.67$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over61c204.76$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.852623.1%6 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under24c198$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.894344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over66c195.92$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.31812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over76c194.18$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.572864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over57c191.22$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.868246.3%38 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over44c188.45$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.921172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over57c187.41$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over74c177.47$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3374457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e8a…acc5backed Over59c166.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e8…5169backed Under71c163.57$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3771…5023backed Over60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under42c161.17$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.482458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over64c154.4$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8210554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under29c138.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.456334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.