TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,847 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c27,604$5,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,003.284,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under9c10,508$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,607.642,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over80c6,275$5,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0203865.8%25 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over77c3,842$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958.611444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under16c3,011$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,542.954057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under9c2,776$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.1650449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over71c2,700$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.952454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over77c2,494$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.275149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under12c1,699$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.315829.3%17 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under45c1,602$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.4392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c1,410$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8643,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over79c1,302$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.071656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under9c1,162$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.2948153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under9c1,059$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.4968450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over28c1,040$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9710418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under14c1,016$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.8815446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2d8…dd09backed Over74c900$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Over10c839.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over41c823.44$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.614235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under32c798.92$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.5213251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under14c728.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.1620142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under9c705$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.551926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under29c642.29$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.521,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c3…0172backed Under22c519.41$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over77c437.69$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfda7…a4dcbacked Over25c435.63$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8562…ad77backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under13c400$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3504252.4%22 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+32.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed Under20c399.25$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.273141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over50c371.82$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.231233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under67c365.75$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.71163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7b…b21ebacked Under13c358.52$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.12922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68f4…2a4abacked Over51c310.21$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3f4…a47fbacked Over72c299.84$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under15c298.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.9211819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over61c277.4$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.974047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under14c274.31$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.25137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Under23c259.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.71060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+54.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26fc…41dfbacked Over46c253.39$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…cf83backed Over65c253.2$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under31c236.6$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.423164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over37c235.24$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.735841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under9c199.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9275451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a9e…2e40backed Under49c199.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over73c199.25$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.45728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick68cpaid-61%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Under10c194.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.913740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under14c192.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under9c190.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.922653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+42.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Under14c189.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.126225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Over37c185.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Under18c156.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.417936.7%29 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked Under43c145.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.22944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over37c137$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.692536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Over38c131.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.811225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over79c128.74$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.71450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3041…2245backed Over79c124.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under13c117.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.874942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under37c115.46$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7424344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3157…5903backed Under13c112.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+153.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0121…ac29backed Over80c98.03$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under12c94.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.355352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over75c92.74$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4722553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over57c89.93$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.212045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Under17c89.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.32128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d7…5194backed Over72c82.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Over69c74.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.77922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-67.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb20…bea0backed Under20c73.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.891442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under20c71.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1223957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over28c68.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1430842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over55c61.92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.063842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over50c59.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.599246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.120441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Under56c52.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.951266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under35c49.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.032462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Over60c48.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.21540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over54c48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.921752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over24c47.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6510060%60 W · 40 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under40c47.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.567949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under38c45.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.082040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over74c43.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.173943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Over61c40.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.426159%36 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.957263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over61c38.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6924757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb5…eb9fbacked Over57c34.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeff…7353backed Over80c29.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.71837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc987…123abacked Over75c29.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.16540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Over60c23.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.222263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd6…3df6backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.65448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over77c17.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.66887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick74cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.