La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf61ff30a0ea996cfd5fe412a51133c1f0911c67e74a85d35a4e809c278c9377c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 18c | 2,796$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.12 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…00d5backed Over | 7c | 2,000$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 13c | 1,999$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.87 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 17c | 1,815$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.2 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 36c | 1,333$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 14c | 972.42$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked Over | 35c | 824.84$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 30c | 798.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 794.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 36c | 673.12$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.32 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 643.38$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.26 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 36c | 584.65$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.48 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Over | 33c | 581.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Over | 25c | 581.06$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.27 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 35c | 418.4$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.44 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 35c | 400.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 64c | 348.31$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 16c | 259.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked Under | 69c | 256.88$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 65c | 236.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 65c | 214.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…74dcbacked Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 35c | 181.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 64c | 174.16$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Over | 36c | 158.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Under | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 17c | 140.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 36c | 131.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 65c | 105.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 64c | 100.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Over | 35c | 90.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 65c | 90.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Over | 35c | 82.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b8…2dd5backed Under | 65c | 79.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Over | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +11.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Under | 76c | 77.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 64c | 76.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…1b46backed Under | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 30c | 73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 65c | 56.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 35c | 55.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Over | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked Over | 35c | 53.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…6695backed Under | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 35c | 41.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Under | 65c | 39.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3924…ee05backed Under | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Under | 65c | 34.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 34c | 31.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 31.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Under | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 64c | 29.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Over | 36c | 28.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b5…2ee9backed Under | 68c | 25.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Under | 65c | 25.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 71c | 24.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Under | 65c | 24.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…f619backed Under | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 67c | 22.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 64c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5622…0111backed Under | 68c | 17.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 65c | 16.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.