TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,309 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c9,527$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.973,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under72c8,237$5,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.176566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c8,027$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,976.6283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over56c5,096$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8654146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over13c4,169$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.552040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over32c4,056$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.5560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under72c3,825$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.2614342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over53c3,789$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.958756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under75c3,248$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.12757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Under67c2,348$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.961172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under46c2,103$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.8813054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0409052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c1,911$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.24,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over28c1,735$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.2710418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under70c1,697$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.9561657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Over38c1,599$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.511662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Over27c1,470$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14fe…e0fdbacked Over50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over31c1,315$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.411,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c1,115$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.161,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57012159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.994235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over53c953.46$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.345143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Over56c872.51$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.274454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under46c861.9$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.433060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over36c803.63$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4617128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf209…15b9backed Under67c791.85$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b3…c131backed Over40c699.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under71c691.97$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.675166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe081…fc19backed Under46c672.99$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce0f…5c9ebacked Over30c641.86$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under44c614$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.841747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Under72c593.24$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.791747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under46c586.37$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.645650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c585.88$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.6648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Over52c560.4$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.362755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd691…0c27backed Over29c556.62$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.673148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over49c494.59$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3511929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over30c473.3$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9910820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b20…8eafbacked Over55c460$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under45c429.78$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.386657.6%38 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over57c427.28$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.558041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under44c420$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.213163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under44c420$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.212863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Under73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under44c388.84$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.756160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over52c388.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.016750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c375.9$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68f4…2a4abacked Over28c373.32$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under44c370$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.212066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under43c361.43$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0110558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7223957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6556…5c7cbacked Over56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.721464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under71c342.05$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5113251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Over29c330.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under46c315.52$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.385570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under45c300$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16615344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over53c290.43$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9311336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under44c285.8$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0550449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over24c273.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.835841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over55c268.9$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over35c251.48$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9313551.1%69 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over29c247.93$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.99743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25dc…43e0backed Under46c241.9$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Under71c220.96$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.081586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+43.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Under71c196.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.991283.3%10 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick76cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.755724.6%14 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.656334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.181656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over31c179.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.584942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Over56c175.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.143658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under71c164.43$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.683259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0923152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Under71c114.87$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.311266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8662…958dbacked Under72c109.24$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.591070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Under45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.096142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc766…1533backed Over55c106.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.381136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa517…33efbacked Under70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over53c97.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.515461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd324…364fbacked Under48c94.86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under46c94.66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.114645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over28c94.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4628138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Over55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.651747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over56c86.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.445944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7149228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4e…71e2backed Over23c82.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x848f…4e46backed Over56c81.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.38per pick66cpaid-62.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over54c80.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over54c76.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1748153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed Under45c75.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.371233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under44c74.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6224546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Under67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.143461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c73.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed Under63c70.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3097…1cffbacked Over56c69.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.94933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Under73c67.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.192152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over54c66.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.