TailMyPicks

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Euroleague · resolved market

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. KK Crvena Zvezda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hapoel Tel Avivof Hapoel Tel Aviv, KK Crvena Zvezda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed KK Crvena Zvezda32c8,020$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.736939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Hapoel Tel Aviv74c6,472$4,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.936100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed KK Crvena Zvezda17c2,598$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.984211.9%5 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv60c1,679$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.6713650%68 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed KK Crvena Zvezda34c1,648$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.9134344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Hapoel Tel Aviv49c1,209$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.584037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked KK Crvena Zvezda2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv71c862.15$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7227557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed KK Crvena Zvezda25c755.66$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7713235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed KK Crvena Zvezda10c669.84$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2214542.1%61 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6519…76cabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv69c579$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.174050%20 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked KK Crvena Zvezda44c572.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8854251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda28c448.31$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7713548.9%66 W · 69 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…5aa0backed KK Crvena Zvezda23c399.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e47…3d20backed Hapoel Tel Aviv57c351.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.331080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed KK Crvena Zvezda29c332$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.714847.3%70 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Hapoel Tel Aviv74c270$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.28344.6%37 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd466…0706backed Hapoel Tel Aviv78c269.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Hapoel Tel Aviv49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1db2…fefebacked KK Crvena Zvezda24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked KK Crvena Zvezda27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed KK Crvena Zvezda28c179$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed KK Crvena Zvezda29c162$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed KK Crvena Zvezda29c162$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed KK Crvena Zvezda26c156.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+78.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf08…f276backed Hapoel Tel Aviv73c137.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.761080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Hapoel Tel Aviv58c135.71$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7112041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Hapoel Tel Aviv59c127.53$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.444369.8%30 W · 13 L+7.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed KK Crvena Zvezda34c122.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.821833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4502…2f4dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv74c108.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked KK Crvena Zvezda27c106.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9911635.3%41 W · 75 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed KK Crvena Zvezda28c103$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.841233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed KK Crvena Zvezda28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282245.5%10 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv74c99.32$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed KK Crvena Zvezda29c99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed KK Crvena Zvezda27c97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv68c88.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.66850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed KK Crvena Zvezda29c86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.941172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+65.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked KK Crvena Zvezda28c85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.870%0 W · 7 L-3.8wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked KK Crvena Zvezda25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c9…bacfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda41c79.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf693…584dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv79c75.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.951464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv65c75.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2612268.9%84 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x895a…d75fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv54c74.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed KK Crvena Zvezda27c71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02a5…f476backed Hapoel Tel Aviv72c62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bd…80c9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Hapoel Tel Aviv73c59.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed KK Crvena Zvezda30c57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.838653.5%46 W · 40 L+10.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv72c52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed KK Crvena Zvezda29c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8679…4420backed KK Crvena Zvezda29c46.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Hapoel Tel Aviv74c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b33…6c89backed KK Crvena Zvezda29c42.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433b…fdffbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fba…dc55backed Hapoel Tel Aviv71c39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv71c39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv72c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e78…fcb4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv72c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1275…29c9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv72c36.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x063c…d642backed Hapoel Tel Aviv73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed KK Crvena Zvezda32c34.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.914650%23 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv67c34.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2931651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9942…5b7dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv73c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df9…ddf3backed KK Crvena Zvezda32c31.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed KK Crvena Zvezda42c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce01…5c2abacked Hapoel Tel Aviv72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…87a4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Hapoel Tel Aviv72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6098…d746backed Hapoel Tel Aviv71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x888b…8f3fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1a…ad50backed Hapoel Tel Aviv72c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Hapoel Tel Aviv71c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fa…26edbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv72c27.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa384…f6e4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed Hapoel Tel Aviv72c26.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97de…15eabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv72c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9acf…bd74backed Hapoel Tel Aviv72c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ad2…d17fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv73c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+96.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7690…92cbbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e8…441fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Hapoel Tel Aviv72c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…4446backed Hapoel Tel Aviv74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.27955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb17d…f9b4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv73c19.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.35540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-45.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5935…b8dabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf21a…0751backed Hapoel Tel Aviv75c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Hapoel Tel Aviv72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+90.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.