Euroleague · resolved market
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fd95d2d0c9ab9e167d4b821e27937e958b887b557beedb8a84caa5d528f3084
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hapoel Tel Avivof Hapoel Tel Aviv, ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 39c | 5,193$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.41 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 10c | 3,675$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.39 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 11c | 3,551$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.58 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 64c | 2,335$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.54 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 37c | 1,260$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.68 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 9c | 1,140$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 78c | 1,099$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.03 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 11c | 996.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 800$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 44c | 683.69$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.47 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 10c | 657.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 76c | 533.03$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 75c | 444.93$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 79c | 438.93$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 9c | 434.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 10c | 387.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 76c | 313.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 68c | 293.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 17c | 176$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 11c | 149.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…1c83backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 8c | 139.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…07fabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 78c | 91.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 17c | 66.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 59c | 65.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…637dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 59c | 61.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…669bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.