Fifa International · resolved market
France to score first vs. England?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38d7e4d9f5253e955aba0086c455e26b89da3cf7eb6b997d9507f45b5c2f4956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4da6…3a54backed Yes | 0c | 142,146$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…f37abacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 61c | 10,161$6,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,223.32 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…e1f9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…10cdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Yes | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 6,411$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,884.84 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 5,977$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.33 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 39c | 4,729$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.49 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 39c | 4,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.95 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 40c | 3,192$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.15 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.94 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Yes | 63c | 2,751$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed No | 41c | 2,432$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 60c | 2,051$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.4 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 37c | 2,008$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.11 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1a…6e7fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,986$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 39c | 1,782$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.44 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 61c | 1,309$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.78 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 40c | 1,152$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.01 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 37c | 1,025$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.68 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…cccabacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 39c | 999.91$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.95 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 957.04$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…658dbacked Yes | 60c | 878$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…8e4fbacked Yes | 64c | 808.83$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked No | 40c | 767$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 40c | 750.97$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.83 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2506…a511backed Yes | 28c | 712.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed No | 35c | 678$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.7 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +20.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 59c | 672.17$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.61 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…e7febacked Yes | 63c | 639.15$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.66 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 49c | 628.82$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.15 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1c…6016backed No | 41c | 579.42$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.29 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 40c | 549.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 61c | 546.62$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.95 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 533.37$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Yes | 60c | 520$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 190 | 62.6%119 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…5a48backed Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…4421backed Yes | 63c | 420$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…5205backed Yes | 59c | 393.07$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x809b…3c98backed No | 40c | 386.3$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…f44dbacked Yes | 58c | 383.1$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…9c04backed Yes | 63c | 383$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5879…b671backed Yes | 62c | 381.6$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -59%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…0f39backed Yes | 57c | 375.28$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yes | 59c | 375$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.25 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Yes | 60c | 375$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…8c07backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 41c | 351.49$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.38 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 61c | 348.34$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.53 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…b42ebacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2296…0f83backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…8aa9backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 40c | 333$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 44.8%99 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2517…065dbacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 40c | 301.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 60c | 285.71$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.43 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 37c | 268.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe3…eaafbacked Yes | 63c | 262.75$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…f170backed Yes | 60c | 255$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462e…07dabacked Yes | 63c | 253.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…16b9backed Yes | 57c | 250$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 57c | 249.81$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…3d6dbacked No | 41c | 245.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.77 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed Yes | 58c | 243.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…003abacked Yes | 60c | 238.18$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…442bbacked No | 40c | 225.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.59 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…4058backed No | 40c | 223$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 43c | 195.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…819ebacked Yes | 57c | 176.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 40c | 176.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…1422backed Yes | 63c | 175.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8f…594fbacked Yes | 60c | 175$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b43…467fbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…ef39backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…9faebacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e9…c135backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 72c | 156.94$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…9582backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 40c | 140$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…b35cbacked Yes | 16c | 133.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Yes | 61c | 132.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…3baebacked Yes | 60c | 121.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 37c | 120.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Yes | 13c | 119.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 111 | 14.4%16 W · 95 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…ae12backed Yes | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked Yes | 17c | 116.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…31cebacked Yes | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed No | 40c | 115.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed4…7660backed Yes | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France to score first vs. England?this page
- England to score first vs. France?Yes won
- France vs. England: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.