Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. England: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e1020bf5e96101cc365ede1141b4d2218fba0198456441be1ed57ffafe54e51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Yes | 5c | 60,036$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.78 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 5c | 21,554$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.71 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…672cbacked Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…e1f9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d3…8d48backed Yes | 5c | 2,372$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 5c | 2,246$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…59b7backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc892…aaf1backed Yes | 6c | 1,591$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,349$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 1c | 1,322$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 5c | 1,239$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9d…24b3backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…cccabacked Yes | 4c | 1,116$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 1,023$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53a…7dc4backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…b0b6backed Yes | 5c | 940$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…61e8backed Yes | 5c | 820$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 5c | 771.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2517…065dbacked Yes | 15c | 646.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…cd4fbacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…e4b7backed Yes | 5c | 440$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…4421backed Yes | 5c | 410$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a6…3149backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…4714backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…79cfbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ee…40e7backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +190.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…f44dbacked Yes | 5c | 392$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 5c | 310.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…420abacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…f170backed Yes | 5c | 270$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…cee0backed Yes | 5c | 260$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed Yes | 5c | 244$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…cbf1backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd17…7856backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…488abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…c6e4backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…60fabacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. England: Neither team to score first?this page
- England to score first vs. France?Yes won
- France to score first vs. England?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.