Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c0a7cc0d420b4e85490494ec0869205e0129419cd2d4e1ca2c631a4a7a30a8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 67c | 60,000$40,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,931.78 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 33c | 32,475$10,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,822.76 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 33c | 21,201$7,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,044.47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed No | 32c | 12,754$4,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 70c | 10,072$7,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.26 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 6,777$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.75 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 34c | 5,555$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.7 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 2,930$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.79 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 35c | 2,892$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 33c | 2,400$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 34c | 2,050$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 34c | 2,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 33c | 1,700$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,503$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 31c | 851.91$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.86 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 34c | 835.88$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.34 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 33c | 714$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 66c | 528.27$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7118…a2a5backed Yes | 69c | 492.75$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 76c | 461.68$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 35c | 440$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 13c | 324.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 33c | 292$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 77c | 273.84$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 69c | 260.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ec…d3eebacked Yes | 69c | 189.63$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked No | 28c | 140.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 61c | 128.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Yes | 69c | 112.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 32c | 108$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 69c | 90.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed No | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…c1d0backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 67c | 69.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 32c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…69fabacked Yes | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 30c | 53.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e3…da52backed Yes | 66c | 48.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 70c | 42.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…31a3backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…2bcebacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…ccdbbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.