Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20814dcbb96837aa10454996d295b35d34b8a7f6830033250b99286a7de74fbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 42c | 200,000$83,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,016.07 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 58c | 118,737$68,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,958.82 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 58c | 35,986$20,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,871.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 16,934$9,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,821.72 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 48c | 15,687$7,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,155.08 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 58c | 11,367$6,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,570.95 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…18d4backed Yes | 65c | 4,536$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…bbaabacked Yes | 64c | 4,103$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Yes | 63c | 3,895$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 26c | 3,520$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.79 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 43c | 3,250$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.62 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 73c | 2,270$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.71 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,988$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.83 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 36c | 1,879$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.55 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 61c | 1,645$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.17 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,422$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 14c | 1,402$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 38c | 1,374$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 40c | 1,274$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.27 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 59c | 1,236$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.24 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 38c | 1,227$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.19 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 920.14$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.12 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 61c | 909.84$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 60c | 773.97$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.89 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…d78dbacked Yes | 60c | 768.33$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 46c | 764.8$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.99 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 42c | 704.8$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 61c | 642.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 58c | 588$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.04 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…63d9backed Yes | 47c | 582.89$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 66c | 543.69$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.28 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b8ecbacked Yes | 51c | 529.62$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 40c | 480$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 29c | 451.72$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 39c | 440.25$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 60c | 440$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 39c | 412.22$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.07 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…fc58backed Yes | 61c | 395.08$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 58c | 390$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 42c | 300.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.16 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3852…f0bbbacked No | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6957…3d11backed Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 52c | 299.85$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 28c | 289.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…2bb3backed No | 38c | 280$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…8a62backed Yes | 62c | 280$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Yes | 13c | 256.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 59c | 228.02$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 54c | 226.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c56cbacked Yes | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +77%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23f…f55abacked Yes | 64c | 172.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…4d4ebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 55c | 164.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…0b31backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…cf89backed Yes | 64c | 162.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 61c | 160$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…337fbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…f032backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 39c | 152$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0842…eb45backed Yes | 63c | 145.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 62c | 139.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…dc37backed Yes | 25c | 135.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 38c | 135$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…cba8backed Yes | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…caccbacked Yes | 61c | 128.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 39c | 125$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…ab11backed Yes | 63c | 124.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 36c | 117.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…9bbbbacked Yes | 43c | 115.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Yes | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed Yes | 44c | 105.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 38c | 104.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 60c | 104$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 49c | 102.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes | 30c | 101.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 68c | 88.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
- Will Union Berlin win on 2025-09-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.