Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3e2e370f48fb5546ebb769675e2c0d5be3fe05b04e65b3818b9568f5ce44f5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 2,109$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.64 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 62c | 1,265$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 37c | 962.46$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.35 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 63c | 798.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 478.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.57 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Yes | 62c | 420.46$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 63c | 400$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Yes | 37c | 335.89$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Yes | 61c | 332.87$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 63c | 329.75$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 272.59$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed No | 39c | 229.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +136%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 222.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 38c | 187.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 60c | 166.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 60c | 158$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 53c | 139.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0edc…59b1backed No | 40c | 93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 61c | 81.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 62c | 80.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 61c | 71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 40c | 70.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 38c | 68.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 61c | 64.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…3405backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 62c | 54.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 61c | 48.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…a629backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…69d5backed No | 41c | 42.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…0fcdbacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609b…5877backed No | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 61c | 33.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…e338backed Yes | 61c | 32.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…7f37backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…c836backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 63c | 22.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda4…13b1backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…5ae2backed Yes | 63c | 18.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…0157backed Yes | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…30cbbacked Yes | 61c | 17.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.