Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96df0957a41c2d39c476fad2492550598bb05ba6c669f5271b5434b3b42ffb77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympique de Marseilleof Lille OSC, Olympique de Marseille
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olympique de Marseille | 77c | 17,746$13,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,127.23 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lille OSC | 24c | 15,200$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.27 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Lille OSC | 20c | 5,000$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lille OSC | 22c | 2,071$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.29 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Olympique de Marseille | 75c | 1,345$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.3 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Olympique de Marseille | 80c | 1,100$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Olympique de Marseille | 78c | 950.18$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.57 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Olympique de Marseille | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Olympique de Marseille | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Lille OSC | 18c | 163$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lille OSC | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Lille OSC | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Olympique de Marseille | 66c | 82.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Lille OSC | 21c | 80.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lille OSC | 19c | 70.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Olympique de Marseille | 78c | 47.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Lille OSC | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Olympique de Marseille | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)this page
- Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.