Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1381d6daf3f1f032af7d661db02f176c453cdd32e79c6e6ac60474ea84440ec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b63…27a7backed Over | 57c | 38,374$21,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,873 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 23c | 11,356$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.33 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 7,249$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.58 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3779…78e1backed Under | 80c | 3,115$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 2,515$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.74 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 55c | 2,400$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 49c | 1,107$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.28 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…1af0backed Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…6fd3backed Under | 45c | 850$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 57c | 689.68$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 53c | 584.58$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 39cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 56c | 561.02$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 508.34$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.1 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Over | 56c | 466.61$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 56c | 466.07$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 56c | 444.47$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…e25abacked Over | 56c | 439.29$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 55c | 399.9$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 43c | 284.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 55c | 261.82$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 66c | 249.24$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 44c | 247.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 24c | 230.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 213.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 201.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…ab11backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…4a6abacked Under | 45c | 177.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 46c | 167.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…db57backed Over | 56c | 138.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Over | 56c | 130$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Under | 49c | 129.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Over | 56c | 106.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 54c | 100.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 56c | 90.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Under | 46c | 87.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Over | 56c | 63.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Under | 46c | 51.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Over | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Over | 55c | 42.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 57c | 29.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed Over | 55c | 19.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 65c | 18.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.