NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae1e6e974e32c0a88d6e60d84b97f97df4dae104cc7760d393972e8ca14f6080
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Maple Leafs, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,042,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,060,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,042,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Islanders | 49c | 211,140$103,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,874.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 200,745$103,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,824.05 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…8679backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 190,378$100,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 121,014$61,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,717.34 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 102,483$52,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,957.4 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Islanders | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,999.99 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Islanders | 47c | 91,964$43,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,307.22 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 74c | 91,377$67,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,642.82 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Islanders | 26c | 62,649$16,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,304.49 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 53,830$27,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,268.33 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Islanders | 49c | 40,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,499.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Islanders | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Islanders | 48c | 28,840$13,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,996.8 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 48c | 26,725$12,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,803.81 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Islanders | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 48c | 21,000$10,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,920 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Islanders | 48c | 18,888$9,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,821.75 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 18,274$9,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,319.72 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 17,769$9,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,240 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Islanders | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Islanders | 49c | 12,189$5,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,256.21 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 11,913$6,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,075.44 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Islanders | 48c | 10,175$4,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,256.35 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Islanders | 44c | 7,100$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,987.33 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Islanders | 48c | 6,906$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.64 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Islanders | 23c | 6,838$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,292.39 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Islanders | 49c | 6,556$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.56 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Islanders | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Islanders | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 5,662$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Islanders | 47c | 5,157$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.21 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Islanders | 47c | 5,097$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.35 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Islanders | 23c | 5,032$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,874.58 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Islanders | 23c | 5,026$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.02 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Islanders | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Islanders | 55c | 4,758$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.15 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders | 30c | 4,217$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.61 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 4,190$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.3 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders | 51c | 4,101$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.11 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Islanders | 68c | 3,988$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.39 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 49c | 3,740$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.83 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Islanders | 49c | 3,230$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.3 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -13.5wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Islanders | 49c | 3,138$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.38 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Islanders | 48c | 3,120$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.25 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 3,100$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Islanders | 48c | 3,064$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.36 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Islanders | 48c | 3,011$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.68 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 31c | 3,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Islanders | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Islanders | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Islanders | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Islanders | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Islanders | 48c | 2,874$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.24 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 2,840$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Islanders | 49c | 2,700$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Islanders | 49c | 2,686$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.86 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Islanders | 49c | 2,629$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.79 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Islanders | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Islanders | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 45c | 2,437$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.21 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Islanders | 48c | 2,344$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.75 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Islanders | 49c | 2,190$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.9 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Islanders | 48c | 2,095$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.31 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 2,072$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.88 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Islanders | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Islanders | 77c | 1,983$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.17 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Maple Leafs | 4c | 1,800$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 49c | 1,687$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.32 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Islanders | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Islanders | 23c | 1,526$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.02 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 49c | 1,500$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Islanders | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders | 49c | 1,500$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Islanders | 48c | 1,497$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.6 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,492$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.57 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,429$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.79 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Islanders | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.53 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…71fabacked Islanders | 49c | 1,306$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710f…eb68backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,297$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Islanders | 23c | 1,240$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.8 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Islanders | 47c | 1,200$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Islanders | 49c | 1,159$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.22 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Islanders | 48c | 1,100$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,070$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.09 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 25c | 1,006$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.7 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Islanders | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Islanders | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Islanders | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Islanders | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Islanders | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Islanders | 49c | 910$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 860.72$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.71 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 832.2$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.62 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Islanders | 48c | 811$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.72 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc760…a21abacked Islanders | 23c | 810$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Islandersthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.