World Politics · resolved market
Will Tarique Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x618084e8c6dc98cc4b22ed231b6e98d3722c78d5a330e97e96b243ed0c31ef01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x135f…2a21backed No | 2c | 1,518$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…a2b6backed No | 1c | 1,379$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 23c | 1,331$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.62 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 16c | 1,166$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.05 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…e22bbacked No | 23c | 991.79$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 12c | 863.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…bf8ebacked No | 6c | 799.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…72f1backed Yes | 79c | 751.42$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…c5e3backed Yes | 74c | 730.18$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 76c | 535.34$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 69c | 508.2$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…6c6abacked Yes | 79c | 505.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 2c | 501.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…6d26backed No | 30c | 453.94$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…a3aabacked Yes | 76c | 395.07$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcd…2930backed No | 29c | 384.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0f…601abacked No | 6c | 353.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 21c | 338.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…be65backed No | 24c | 324.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 15c | 272.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…96e3backed Yes | 75c | 265.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked Yes | 78c | 259.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 24c | 251.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdc…f959backed Yes | 78c | 250.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc27…cf52backed Yes | 79c | 248.28$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…5f7ebacked No | 23c | 248.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 15c | 247.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed No | 23c | 229.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 28c | 216.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 12c | 199.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…0306backed Yes | 74c | 189.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e1…29f8backed Yes | 64c | 174.32$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c7…a1c7backed No | 14c | 168.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…b2adbacked Yes | 80c | 167.14$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…27c2backed Yes | 67c | 166.75$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 30c | 155.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4507…3921backed Yes | 73c | 155$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…76a4backed Yes | 65c | 152.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f44…34e6backed Yes | 72c | 138.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 62c | 135.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…7ac7backed Yes | 74c | 135.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 23c | 132.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1e23…5430backed Yes | 80c | 125.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb53…7a0ebacked No | 26c | 111.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…9ba4backed No | 23c | 109.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…a747backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd219…0412backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80dc…7cf8backed Yes | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 75c | 99.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 27c | 98.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16aa…dff7backed Yes | 73c | 81.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 15c | 74.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed No | 21c | 72.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…4660backed No | 23c | 61.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 22c | 61.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…4a02backed No | 26c | 58.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cc…9e43backed No | 25c | 58.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…4b50backed No | 30c | 57.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 73c | 55.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 77c | 54.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 64c | 53.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…21b7backed Yes | 62c | 52.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…dfffbacked Yes | 68c | 49.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…d463backed Yes | 68c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…fdb8backed Yes | 79c | 48.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 24c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 78c | 46.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 110 | 69.1%76 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc0…41e6backed No | 27c | 44.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd8…d647backed Yes | 78c | 44.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…c786backed Yes | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…053ebacked Yes | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…5765backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Yes | 80c | 29.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…d7eabacked Yes | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…02c6backed Yes | 71c | 27.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 58c | 27.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…03d0backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…96d3backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1c…91d3backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb80…9021backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…3a8bbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…7300backed Yes | 71c | 18.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…5088backed Yes | 71c | 18.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…a8b5backed Yes | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…5992backed Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tarique Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?this page
- Will Shafiqur Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.