World Politics · resolved market
Will Shafiqur Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x504526f86522ecc910c42a0d9ed3957298ef6a8affae3f2512d8eac12dee8b49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 4c | 6,555$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc0…41e6backed Yes | 26c | 6,092$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 76c | 4,892$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.03 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked No | 71c | 3,300$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ad…854fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,845$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc497…f3f5backed Yes | 25c | 2,654$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…d15dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…2103backed Yes | 26c | 2,389$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0f…601abacked Yes | 10c | 1,397$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,383$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.73 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…be65backed Yes | 25c | 1,087$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb53…7a0ebacked Yes | 24c | 913.29$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…e879backed Yes | 16c | 869.2$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51a…fd90backed Yes | 31c | 643.47$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 22c | 629.78$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…37a6backed No | 80c | 625.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 75c | 623.93$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.84 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…9946backed Yes | 36c | 548.68$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d624backed Yes | 19c | 515.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a4…1465backed Yes | 19c | 472.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 22c | 448.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…87d1backed No | 72c | 373.2$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcd…2930backed Yes | 34c | 345.89$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 77c | 311.33$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a0…c1bfbacked Yes | 16c | 311.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…21b7backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 264.22$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Yes | 18c | 259.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 20c | 245.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…eabebacked Yes | 33c | 234.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…9ba4backed No | 74c | 229.43$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…e6a6backed Yes | 24c | 228$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…1c93backed Yes | 16c | 223.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x214e…3ed3backed No | 71c | 214.2$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…5f7ebacked Yes | 22c | 202.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…b557backed Yes | 9c | 176.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358f…44b3backed Yes | 29c | 171.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 164.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…805abacked No | 71c | 154.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6d…8a57backed Yes | 13c | 144.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1363…e586backed Yes | 14c | 138.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…da97backed Yes | 20c | 129.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…16a1backed Yes | 22c | 127.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…6e04backed Yes | 26c | 114.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc9…77bebacked Yes | 22c | 113.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…4ae7backed Yes | 21c | 109.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…dfffbacked Yes | 28c | 102.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…8f3dbacked Yes | 29c | 101.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1a9bbacked No | 63c | 100.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80dc…7cf8backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd219…0412backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…93fbbacked Yes | 22c | 94.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…ecccbacked Yes | 30c | 92.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4686…c3e8backed Yes | 21c | 88.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 79c | 87.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 76c | 85.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 25c | 78.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…56f5backed Yes | 26c | 77.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…d7eabacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcf…94dabacked Yes | 27c | 73.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…e9f4backed Yes | 20c | 71.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…4660backed Yes | 21c | 70.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf199…6bf9backed Yes | 18c | 66.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae2…9006backed Yes | 23c | 65.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…a86dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…fdb8backed No | 77c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…8677backed Yes | 18c | 56.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 23c | 52.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…79b5backed Yes | 28c | 52.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…8b4ebacked Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…bcdbbacked Yes | 20c | 51.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 22c | 50.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…baa8backed No | 77c | 46.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7e7ebacked Yes | 32c | 45.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…58c7backed No | 73c | 41.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe5…4b69backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 73c | 24.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…7847backed No | 74c | 24.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…dd96backed No | 80c | 23.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 69c | 22.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed No | 70c | 17.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed No | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 78c | 13.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shafiqur Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?this page
- Will Tarique Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.