TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Chargers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Chargersof Chargers, Vikings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,661 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1496…a429backed Vikings42c11,893$4,995 inLost-$4,994.9827454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Vikings43c10,000$4,300 inLost-$4,3005048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Chargers58c10,000$5,798 inWon+$4,201.2413843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Chargers57c9,426$5,373 inWon+$4,053.3186547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Vikings42c8,715$3,655 inLost-$3,655.1361148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Chargers59c8,475$5,000 inWon+$3,474.5811252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Chargers57c4,386$2,500 inWon+$1,885.965358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Vikings43c4,381$1,882 inLost-$1,882.411,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Chargers51c2,555$1,292 inWon+$1,263.0544652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Chargers58c1,882$1,090 inWon+$792.5233553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Chargers57c1,848$1,047 inWon+$800.5317251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Vikings49c1,744$849 inLost-$848.6383447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vikings41c869.38$356 inLost-$356.441,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f8…e156backed Vikings43c810.22$348 inLost-$348.392737%10 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+123.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vikings42c688.4$289 inLost-$289.1383147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Chargers58c683.81$397 inWon+$287.23565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Vikings45c301.2$136 inLost-$135.5414550.3%73 W · 72 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1699…7644backed Chargers58c262.83$152 inWon+$110.391752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Vikings42c222.7$94 inLost-$94.0437350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Chargers57c218.56$124 inWon+$94.2341248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Vikings43c200$86 inLost-$8659453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe478…28eabacked Chargers58c200$116 inWon+$842462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81d6…bec9backed Vikings44c181.82$80 inLost-$801127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Chargers58c172.41$100 inWon+$72.418557.6%49 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Vikings43c162.79$70 inLost-$7028047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Vikings43c143$61 inLost-$61.4977052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Vikings43c139.42$60 inLost-$60.231350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Vikings43c93.02$40 inLost-$4015944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Chargers58c86.21$50 inWon+$36.214250%21 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Chargers59c84.75$50 inWon+$34.7529059.7%173 W · 117 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ac…fa5ebacked Chargers58c60$35 inWon+$25.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Chargers58c51.72$30 inWon+$21.7218350.3%92 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Vikings43c46.51$20 inLost-$208056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Vikings43c40$17 inLost-$17.231032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x557f…efa5backed Vikings43c30$13 inLost-$12.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Chargers58c25.86$15 inWon+$10.861553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3914…2103backed Chargers58c25.86$15 inWon+$10.863243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6526…9c80backed Chargers58c25.62$15 inWon+$10.763441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.