F1 · resolved market
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf36a3794ab2582d8f210e3203426c771b72bea894b3ab0e806654648c56428ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3cc…8aebbacked No | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…31a0backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 14c | 1,348$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.17 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 75c | 1,255$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.79 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 10c | 1,001$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.29 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 25c | 776.49$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.47 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 12c | 744.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.38 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 9c | 624.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.95 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 73c | 484.51$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.06 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 8c | 480$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.6 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e51…92bfbacked Yes | 34c | 472.03$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +92%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 38c | 431.18$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.93 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 39c | 430.89$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.87 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes | 47c | 422.42$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.88 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Yes | 9c | 419.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.61 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 11c | 415.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 37c | 406.19$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f15…3f4bbacked Yes | 25c | 388.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 55c | 377.97$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.59 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 16c | 315.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.02 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…a166backed No | 78c | 307.85$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes | 19c | 262.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa617…97aabacked Yes | 14c | 228.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +266.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…c23cbacked Yes | 35c | 221.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa668…f0f1backed Yes | 45c | 204.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40c…4497backed No | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…658bbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb9…f582backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…b556backed Yes | 56c | 177.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…c3e8backed Yes | 24c | 176.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 64c | 154.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes | 10c | 126.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.97 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…0be2backed Yes | 31c | 121.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 45c | 115.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…8ce2backed Yes | 47c | 107.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 67c | 106.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…fe45backed Yes | 49c | 101.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 55c | 101.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf890…7fe6backed Yes | 18c | 99.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…a526backed Yes | 25c | 97.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed No | 66c | 84.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821e…3ac8backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…bdc9backed No | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…5280backed Yes | 53c | 75.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…f958backed No | 66c | 74.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 71c | 64.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed No | 52c | 61.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb975…258dbacked Yes | 33c | 60.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18af…f909backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 73c | 59.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 40c | 59.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 46c | 57.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 76c | 52.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b5…749abacked Yes | 27c | 52.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 77c | 42.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 78c | 41.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf791…ae5bbacked Yes | 32c | 41.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 37c | 40.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 69c | 35.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…cdccbacked Yes | 53c | 32.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed No | 64c | 31.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…0ab2backed Yes | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 76c | 30.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 73c | 28.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Yes | 56c | 26.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 79c | 26.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 46c | 25.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 65c | 20.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e5…8e79backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3d…99cebacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 58c | 18.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.