F1 · resolved market
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7142565482394a427d517c7fdbfca5395723627528d056371f0cf8a7d480d5ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 40c | 611.55$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.57 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 61c | 469.8$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.31 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 63c | 270.37$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 30c | 263.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e51…92bfbacked Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +92%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 62c | 228.16$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 40c | 217.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 68c | 214.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 62c | 149.55$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 38c | 148.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 36c | 132$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed Yes | 38c | 130.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 38c | 128.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes | 39c | 122.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 114.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 61c | 101.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2267…3355backed No | 61c | 90.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 39c | 84.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 32c | 81.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed No | 62c | 81.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf890…7fe6backed Yes | 37c | 80.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 41c | 79.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 64c | 72.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 67c | 68.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 70c | 62.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 39c | 59.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 65c | 55.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 67c | 53.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 61c | 46.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 66c | 45.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 37c | 43.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 64c | 35.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed No | 61c | 33.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…e5d0backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 54c | 27.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 60c | 25.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 68c | 23.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe294…d74bbacked Yes | 44c | 22.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 65c | 20.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.