Lol · resolved market
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x350938ac763a8367b9d4a2268e821acfbd1e93770185f3341f4305e73ca323c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports | 56c | 11,549$6,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,116.05 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 10,832$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.12 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 9,796$4,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.7 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked G2 Esports | 49c | 9,288$4,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.88 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 7,609$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.94 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 7,348$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.04 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 6,204$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed G2 Esports | 58c | 6,165$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.26 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 6,100$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.1 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 5,983$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.1 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 5,755$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.51 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed G2 Esports | 65c | 5,011$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.19 | 308 | 45.1%139 W · 169 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 5,000$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.5 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed G2 Esports | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 Esports | 73c | 4,950$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.11 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 4,394$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.63 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed G2 Esports | 78c | 4,318$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.9 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked G2 Esports | 62c | 4,088$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.77 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked G2 Esports | 65c | 4,000$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.99 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed G2 Esports | 45c | 3,791$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.79 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…2dd4backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,570$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.81 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +16.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 Esports | 64c | 3,500$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.5 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 3,413$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked G2 Esports | 63c | 3,169$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.56 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed G2 Esports | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed G2 Esports | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…614ebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,790$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 156 | 44.2%69 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed G2 Esports | 70c | 2,773$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.1 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe687…9eebbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,600$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.65 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,338$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.3 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,300$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed G2 Esports | 58c | 2,000$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.93 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,000$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.95 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1887…f75dbacked G2 Esports | 40c | 1,989$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.24 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…9670backed G2 Esports | 73c | 1,820$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,705$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.75 | 269 | 42.4%114 W · 155 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed G2 Esports | 60c | 1,573$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.3 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked G2 Esports | 63c | 1,568$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.8 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…44a8backed G2 Esports | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,481$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.6 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked G2 Esports | 65c | 1,440$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa0…ac09backed G2 Esports | 66c | 1,424$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,416$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.82 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b5…294bbacked G2 Esports | 66c | 1,409$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed G2 Esports | 73c | 1,374$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.28 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed G2 Esports | 51c | 1,274$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.39 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,162$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.7 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,154$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 298 | 46.6%139 W · 159 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 1,119$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,113$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.91 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,027$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.35 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 974.91$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.47 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 952.99$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.75 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 950$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 900$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked G2 Esports | 35c | 900$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.91 | 502 | 42.2%212 W · 290 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 880.36$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.45 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 800$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed G2 Esports | 38c | 787$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.94 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked G2 Esports | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked G2 Esports | 66c | 762.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.12 | 520 | 65.4%340 W · 180 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 749.99$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.3 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 736$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.89 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…a319backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 724.36$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked G2 Esports | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed G2 Esports | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed G2 Esports | 62c | 699.99$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 557 | 50.4%281 W · 276 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…2d13backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 696.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked G2 Esports | 29c | 690.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.48 | 243 | 26.7%65 W · 178 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ce…cc35backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed G2 Esports | 38c | 681.81$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.72 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 647.22$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 641.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked G2 Esports | 63c | 604.73$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.56 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 600$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…fbcfbacked G2 Esports | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 273 | 67%183 W · 90 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 284 | 48.6%138 W · 146 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Esports | 79c | 592.45$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 589.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked G2 Esports | 66c | 568.77$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.59 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 564$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 468 | 41.7%195 W · 273 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 558.08$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed G2 Esports | 69c | 520.05$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.89 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Esports | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed G2 Esports | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed G2 Esports | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 499.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked G2 Esports | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 501 | 55.3%277 W · 224 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed G2 Esports | 37c | 470.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.01 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 468.06$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…97d1backed G2 Esports | 39c | 461.54$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.54 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.