CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd6df099b07a9a5c45acd874efbff6bf15b1876b40d7b179f3116ef767b86c6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof SPARTA, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 38c | 1,086$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.9 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 900.6$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.57 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked SPARTA | 49c | 727.75$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.91 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 700.27$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.08 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…9546backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 658.54$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.69 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked SPARTA | 63c | 511.72$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.02 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked SPARTA | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SPARTA | 39c | 480.65$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…ee32backed SPARTA | 55c | 426.05$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.43 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed SPARTA | 66c | 404.58$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.67 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked SPARTA | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 944 | 45.7%431 W · 513 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed SPARTA | 50c | 306.3$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 38c | 304.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 299.84$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.57 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 281.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.37 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed SPARTA | 21c | 237.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SPARTA | 24c | 217.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked SPARTA | 42c | 167.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SPARTA | 61c | 164.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed SPARTA | 64c | 156.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 155.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 853 | 51.7%441 W · 412 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed SPARTA | 21c | 136.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 129.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 462 | 47.8%221 W · 241 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed SPARTA | 57c | 129.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 1,484 | 58%861 W · 623 L | +66.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7251…4a60backed SPARTA | 40c | 125.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked SPARTA | 43c | 122.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 122.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 1,069 | 37.8%404 W · 665 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed SPARTA | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 388 | 38.7%150 W · 238 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked SPARTA | 13c | 121$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SPARTA | 43c | 119.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…dc10backed SPARTA | 43c | 116.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f78fbacked SPARTA | 26c | 114.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed Bushido Wildcats | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 98.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked SPARTA | 67c | 93.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 91.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked SPARTA | 56c | 85.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…eb35backed SPARTA | 21c | 81.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 60.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked SPARTA | 43c | 59.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed SPARTA | 48c | 59.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed SPARTA | 21c | 54.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,314 | 44.3%582 W · 732 L | +47.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…b4e9backed Bushido Wildcats | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed SPARTA | 62c | 48.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 47.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…b948backed Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 46.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed SPARTA | 55c | 45.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked SPARTA | 30c | 41.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 592 | 2.9%17 W · 575 L | -219.6wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 40.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 35.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked SPARTA | 37c | 33.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 671 | 47.1%316 W · 355 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed SPARTA | 44c | 32.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 620 | 48.2%299 W · 321 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…8861backed SPARTA | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed SPARTA | 44c | 31.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…bb25backed SPARTA | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed SPARTA | 47c | 27.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed SPARTA | 48c | 25.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…ecc4backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 24.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -19.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -9.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccc…f605backed Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 19.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.