MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e320d1e8b98bbd0df6151c0ebc3354b154d5a3fd483887ec40a87b60c6750b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof KT Wiz, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked KT Wiz | 23c | 1,578$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.69 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 1,504$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed KT Wiz | 4c | 1,369$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Samsung Lions | 78c | 1,073$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.88 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed KT Wiz | 58c | 1,048$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.3 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…f50dbacked Samsung Lions | 40c | 993$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 24c | 694.65$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 673.94$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 23c | 659.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.63 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Samsung Lions | 43c | 490$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 56c | 485.39$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed KT Wiz | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed KT Wiz | 55c | 406.62$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KT Wiz | 59c | 400.52$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.86 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 20c | 380.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 309.28$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.28 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 297.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 233.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Samsung Lions | 69c | 231.58$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KT Wiz | 22c | 198.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 184.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed KT Wiz | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KT Wiz | 33c | 162.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Samsung Lions | 41c | 157.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 151.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed KT Wiz | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KT Wiz | 56c | 139.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked KT Wiz | 22c | 137$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 132$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 113.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KT Wiz | 22c | 106.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 99.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…7b62backed KT Wiz | 65c | 93.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked KT Wiz | 57c | 87.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…f9f2backed KT Wiz | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed KT Wiz | 63c | 77.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Samsung Lions | 39c | 76.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…dc10backed KT Wiz | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Samsung Lions | 41c | 69.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed KT Wiz | 54c | 68.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Samsung Lions | 42c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…5326backed KT Wiz | 53c | 65.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed KT Wiz | 58c | 63.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Samsung Lions | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Samsung Lions | 77c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked KT Wiz | 48c | 60.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked KT Wiz | 56c | 60.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed KT Wiz | 55c | 52.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Samsung Lions | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed KT Wiz | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed KT Wiz | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Samsung Lions | 80c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KT Wiz | 24c | 45.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed KT Wiz | 44c | 45.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 45.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Samsung Lions | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Samsung Lions | 74c | 42.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Samsung Lions | 36c | 40.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked KT Wiz | 55c | 40.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 40.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KT Wiz | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Samsung Lions | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Samsung Lions | 42c | 36.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Samsung Lions | 41c | 36.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 35.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed KT Wiz | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Samsung Lions | 42c | 33.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked KT Wiz | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Samsung Lions | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked KT Wiz | 53c | 26.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed KT Wiz | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…b325backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 21.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed KT Wiz | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed KT Wiz | 59c | 17.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Samsung Lions | 69c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.