TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, Noir Verse
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ NXT49c1,090$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.072,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff45…4bc2backed MOUZ NXT39c939.49$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.82742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Noir Verse29c774.66$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0613342.1%56 W · 77 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked MOUZ NXT39c730.39$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.328345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT45c444.11$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.675,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Noir Verse32c434.43$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9626554.3%144 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed Noir Verse36c412$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3216550.3%83 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed MOUZ NXT46c376.5$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.314934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Noir Verse54c370.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005766.7%38 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…d93fbacked MOUZ NXT48c360$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1885050%25 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked MOUZ NXT65c351.82$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8616248.1%78 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Noir Verse46c346.47$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6529340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Noir Verse60c334.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033057.3%189 W · 141 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked Noir Verse55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16515246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f5…82b5backed Noir Verse37c269.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e99…0a26backed Noir Verse54c253$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.627643.4%33 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce5…309cbacked MOUZ NXT41c249.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.58625.6%22 W · 64 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Noir Verse43c220$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf91e…dc10backed MOUZ NXT47c214.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.937354.8%40 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8084…f4a3backed Noir Verse38c209.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.673727%10 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked Noir Verse55c209.92$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.519548.2%94 W · 101 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed MOUZ NXT50c198.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.395527.3%15 W · 40 L-10.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-44.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa4b5…ecffbacked MOUZ NXT67c194.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.215879.3%46 W · 12 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed MOUZ NXT57c190.97$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0162248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d5…9727backed Noir Verse27c185.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017438.5%67 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed Noir Verse49c180.77$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8630859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Noir Verse42c180.24$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.633448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Noir Verse59c172.49$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6224260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Noir Verse39c168$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1731845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Noir Verse40c157.89$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.722,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed MOUZ NXT70c149.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4515244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked MOUZ NXT65c138.72$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7241054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24cc…0927backed Noir Verse33c118.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913254.5%72 W · 60 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed MOUZ NXT65c115.71$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7117361.3%106 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab05…52e9backed MOUZ NXT44c114.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.29654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT62c102.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.434,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Noir Verse50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed MOUZ NXT40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6020045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4a…c078backed Noir Verse36c99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7912271.3%87 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7292…a636backed MOUZ NXT67c96.21$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2846…267fbacked Noir Verse38c93.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.66858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x47df…2183backed MOUZ NXT54c92.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa091…f1c1backed MOUZ NXT35c92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609737.1%36 W · 61 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed MOUZ NXT58c86.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.571,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Noir Verse48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022037.3%82 W · 138 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked MOUZ NXT63c70.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.17347.9%35 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed MOUZ NXT37c67.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.757241.7%30 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee9…8e38backed Noir Verse41c61.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Noir Verse45c60.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.430638.9%119 W · 187 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Noir Verse48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.826344.1%116 W · 147 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7415…b585backed MOUZ NXT34c58.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.794845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed MOUZ NXT40c56.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.556942%29 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked MOUZ NXT49c53.88$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.441,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc5…84c1backed MOUZ NXT57c52.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked MOUZ NXT36c51.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3210947.7%52 W · 57 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee22…7054backed MOUZ NXT52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2411844.1%52 W · 66 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Noir Verse54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2782146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d9…3f76backed MOUZ NXT60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12ee…0439backed MOUZ NXT41c49.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.59548.4%46 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19a…2d2dbacked MOUZ NXT54c47.88$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.82040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed MOUZ NXT61c46.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3319762.9%124 W · 73 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcede…e6c9backed MOUZ NXT65c46.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.455170.6%36 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Noir Verse45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed MOUZ NXT67c44.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6316351.5%84 W · 79 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f5…7a95backed Noir Verse47c42.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023751.5%122 W · 115 L-14.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Noir Verse59c42.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522555.6%125 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT60c35.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.334,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ce…8861backed MOUZ NXT47c35.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.944346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Noir Verse33c34.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2812531.2%39 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked MOUZ NXT34c34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4418939.2%74 W · 115 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8072…c60abacked Noir Verse34c33.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.562657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Noir Verse39c33.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316349.1%80 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ad…515abacked Noir Verse60c33.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aeb…b77fbacked Noir Verse39c30.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0153…bad3backed MOUZ NXT58c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54055%22 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed MOUZ NXT65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.516256.8%92 W · 70 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf312…b94dbacked Noir Verse77c29.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.931258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Noir Verse51c29.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae02…224fbacked MOUZ NXT72c26.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbac…ecc4backed Noir Verse46c26.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218841.5%78 W · 110 L-19.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed MOUZ NXT73c26.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0335148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae24…8bf5backed MOUZ NXT61c23.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd1…e58abacked MOUZ NXT50c22.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddfc…692dbacked Noir Verse59c20.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129048.9%44 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0314…8b59backed Noir Verse62c17.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-71%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd181…6a2bbacked MOUZ NXT69c15.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.75757.9%33 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.