CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Noir Verse - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3c8b083add20b9366f945a63e2cf8e4ba3e0193ce5493250421a9526e8148b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, Noir Verse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Noir Verse | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 699.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 529.96$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.58 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Noir Verse | 42c | 507.32$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Noir Verse | 35c | 283.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked MOUZ NXT | 65c | 221.05$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 64c | 199.23$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Noir Verse | 47c | 195.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT | 65c | 167.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 77c | 165.78$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Noir Verse | 13c | 136.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked MOUZ NXT | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 58 | 79.3%46 W · 12 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Noir Verse | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Noir Verse | 45c | 92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Noir Verse | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed Noir Verse | 25c | 88.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked MOUZ NXT | 65c | 68.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 66.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 50.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked MOUZ NXT | 65c | 49.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Noir Verse | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Noir Verse | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9291…63d0backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 24.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 23.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19a…2d2dbacked MOUZ NXT | 64c | 23.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Noir Verse - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group DMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Noir Verse - Map 1 WinnerNoir Verse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.