CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs mellren - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd873f0db872d2f892d8a3c84c9f491721f085aefc82b161ca40ee0f4afebb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mellrenof Honvéd, mellren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Honvéd | 41c | 779.56$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.56 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…2acdbacked mellren | 55c | 422.09$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…fb40backed mellren | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked mellren | 53c | 316.31$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.59 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Honvéd | 22c | 300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Honvéd | 34c | 281.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd58…5b2fbacked mellren | 56c | 273$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…1a8cbacked mellren | 74c | 268.25$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe54e…4a99backed mellren | 76c | 180.51$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Honvéd | 17c | 162.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…dc10backed Honvéd | 58c | 154.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Honvéd | 40c | 150.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed mellren | 60c | 130.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked mellren | 78c | 112$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed mellren | 60c | 110.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…ba9ebacked Honvéd | 11c | 100.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Honvéd | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Honvéd | 39c | 94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b7…82a2backed mellren | 58c | 86.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked mellren | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…1753backed mellren | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed mellren | 55c | 37.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Honvéd | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7c…bd7fbacked mellren | 74c | 33.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Honvéd | 61c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed mellren | 59c | 23.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs mellren - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsmellren won
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs mellren - Map 1 Winnermellren won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.