CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a6621745cc782a853359e2c1d33f39cb792f2f15ea504edab47f3d2b2594938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mellrenof Honvéd, mellren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5135…7217backed Honvéd | 58c | 2,356$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.32 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd58…5b2fbacked mellren | 42c | 1,679$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…8165backed mellren | 42c | 735.59$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Honvéd | 27c | 588.66$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Honvéd | 14c | 523.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ac87backed mellren | 43c | 469.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.39 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed mellren | 44c | 447.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.75 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Honvéd | 23c | 438$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Honvéd | 59c | 394$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.87 | 329 | 49.2%162 W · 167 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked mellren | 65c | 348.41$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.82 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed mellren | 77c | 346.17$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 208 | 59.1%123 W · 85 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Honvéd | 60c | 334.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.37 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…2acdbacked mellren | 64c | 326.08$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Honvéd | 52c | 300.96$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 343 | 56.6%194 W · 149 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed mellren | 41c | 281.66$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.18 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed mellren | 48c | 240.96$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Honvéd | 58c | 234.83$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed Honvéd | 60c | 227.29$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked mellren | 41c | 225.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.9 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed mellren | 49c | 192.68$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed mellren | 57c | 175.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Honvéd | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Honvéd | 19c | 141.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…a0bbbacked Honvéd | 36c | 139.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Honvéd | 15c | 119.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed mellren | 50c | 115.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Honvéd | 22c | 110.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Honvéd | 64c | 103.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 463 | 54%250 W · 213 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed Honvéd | 20c | 101.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked mellren | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed mellren | 50c | 89.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed mellren | 36c | 85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 1,069 | 37.8%404 W · 665 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Honvéd | 13c | 82.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed mellren | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Honvéd | 57c | 74.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed mellren | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Honvéd | 34c | 66.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Honvéd | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 252 | 52%131 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…8dedbacked Honvéd | 62c | 64.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Honvéd | 23c | 56.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed mellren | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked mellren | 72c | 50.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 390 | 72.3%282 W · 108 L | +37.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…cafebacked mellren | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed mellren | 40c | 45.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed mellren | 43c | 45.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 607 | 53.9%327 W · 280 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Honvéd | 64c | 45.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed mellren | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed mellren | 68c | 39.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 260 | 46.5%121 W · 139 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…7ffcbacked Honvéd | 58c | 36.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked mellren | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Honvéd | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Honvéd | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Honvéd | 56c | 18.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed mellren | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs mellren - Map 1 Winnermellren won
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs mellren - Map 2 Winnermellren won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.