CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2be38e606cdae6dd258e71d07a11ee7a47a5642b1b945a901f3e2f430ced3d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUAZARof Misa Esports, QUAZAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Misa Esports | 40c | 2,465$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked QUAZAR | 60c | 2,048$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.15 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed QUAZAR | 70c | 1,422$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Misa Esports | 37c | 1,285$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.38 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked QUAZAR | 55c | 969.99$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.57 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…dcedbacked QUAZAR | 61c | 945.45$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.18 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Misa Esports | 37c | 849.98$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.49 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 45c | 806.18$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.68 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed QUAZAR | 59c | 665.97$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed QUAZAR | 45c | 663.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.41 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked QUAZAR | 61c | 624.88$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.7 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Misa Esports | 36c | 572.11$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.1 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed Misa Esports | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Misa Esports | 4c | 480.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked QUAZAR | 65c | 455.46$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked QUAZAR | 77c | 392.8$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed QUAZAR | 52c | 384.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.56 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Misa Esports | 39c | 348.92$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed QUAZAR | 70c | 278.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 13c | 269.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed QUAZAR | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…b823backed Misa Esports | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Misa Esports | 39c | 234.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked Misa Esports | 32c | 220$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…dc10backed Misa Esports | 32c | 215.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f78fbacked Misa Esports | 40c | 201.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed Misa Esports | 13c | 188.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed QUAZAR | 53c | 179.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed QUAZAR | 61c | 173.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…9727backed Misa Esports | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Misa Esports | 16c | 125.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Misa Esports | 49c | 118.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…417abacked Misa Esports | 59c | 118.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Misa Esports | 41c | 117.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 27c | 114.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked QUAZAR | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…64c4backed Misa Esports | 10c | 111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed QUAZAR | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed Misa Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Misa Esports | 41c | 93.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked QUAZAR | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked QUAZAR | 60c | 87.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7251…4a60backed QUAZAR | 65c | 76.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…8861backed QUAZAR | 39c | 72.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…441fbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 57.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed QUAZAR | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed QUAZAR | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked Misa Esports | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c4…efb8backed Misa Esports | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Misa Esports | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f4…ecb3backed QUAZAR | 68c | 39.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…1a88backed Misa Esports | 37c | 39.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed QUAZAR | 63c | 37.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Misa Esports | 57c | 35.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Misa Esports | 65c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Misa Esports | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Misa Esports | 51c | 29.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Misa Esports | 54c | 27.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…692dbacked QUAZAR | 40c | 26.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Misa Esports | 44c | 26.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Misa Esports | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed QUAZAR | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Misa Esports | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…ecc4backed Misa Esports | 49c | 24.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -19.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1aae…6a85backed QUAZAR | 55c | 24.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Misa Esports | 55c | 23.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…b948backed QUAZAR | 72c | 20.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs QUAZAR - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs QUAZAR - Map 2 WinnerQUAZAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.