CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs QUAZAR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40bc579312fa042b89444ab1c32177eafed7782b85d6ad98b507223da3ede94f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUAZARof Misa Esports, QUAZAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Misa Esports | 36c | 1,341$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.71 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed QUAZAR | 61c | 613.38$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.28 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 38c | 572$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.36 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Misa Esports | 43c | 513.92$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked QUAZAR | 62c | 498.68$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.19 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QUAZAR | 67c | 479.14$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.45 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed QUAZAR | 65c | 377.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.57 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked QUAZAR | 62c | 271.61$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked QUAZAR | 64c | 236.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked QUAZAR | 60c | 222.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Misa Esports | 45c | 194.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Misa Esports | 27c | 175$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked QUAZAR | 59c | 171.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Misa Esports | 41c | 142.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed QUAZAR | 66c | 107.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked Misa Esports | 30c | 83.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed QUAZAR | 73c | 72.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed QUAZAR | 55c | 46.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 358 | 48%172 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked QUAZAR | 55c | 27.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked QUAZAR | 58c | 27.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc55b…b164backed QUAZAR | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed QUAZAR | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked QUAZAR | 62c | 18.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed QUAZAR | 68c | 16.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked QUAZAR | 79c | 14.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs QUAZAR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group BQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs QUAZAR - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.