TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Matteo Martineau

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Max Dahlinof Max Dahlin, Matteo Martineau
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe92d…0939backed Max Dahlin54c24,717$13,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,364.681770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Matteo Martineau18c21,347$3,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,842.521,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7574…fcc7backed Matteo Martineau24c14,741$3,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,506.93825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Matteo Martineau41c7,010$2,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8641,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Max Dahlin50c6,283$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,141.69044.4%40 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Martineau19c4,980$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.2511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Matteo Martineau47c3,186$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.4278840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Matteo Martineau46c2,781$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.124,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Martineau27c2,039$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.718,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Max Dahlin79c1,610$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.064,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Matteo Martineau50c1,568$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.963,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Matteo Martineau30c1,200$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Max Dahlin78c1,193$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.873,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Matteo Martineau50c1,193$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.532,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Max Dahlin67c972.17$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.825,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Max Dahlin69c882.9$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.976,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Dahlin75c737.78$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.048,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Max Dahlin76c727$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.484,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Matteo Martineau30c700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Matteo Martineau30c657.05$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1238446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Matteo Martineau46c641.18$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.823,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Matteo Martineau47c629.37$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.826441.7%110 W · 154 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Matteo Martineau44c620.9$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.1192237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Matteo Martineau45c615.09$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.792,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Matteo Martineau49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2947,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Matteo Martineau47c574.42$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.983,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Matteo Martineau44c530.56$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.884,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x676e…28c5backed Matteo Martineau19c502.56$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942231.8%7 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Matteo Martineau31c500$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15314142.6%60 W · 81 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Matteo Martineau45c498.61$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.41,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Matteo Martineau20c466.86$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9170537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Matteo Martineau22c461.76$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5130625.8%79 W · 227 L-28.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Matteo Martineau47c457.94$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.231,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Matteo Martineau46c454.55$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.947,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Matteo Martineau43c432.56$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18433551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Matteo Martineau24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004027.5%11 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Matteo Martineau44c345.55$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0431347.6%149 W · 164 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5331…cf7cbacked Max Dahlin59c337.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.517157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Max Dahlin80c314.46$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8911372.6%82 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd09…43aabacked Max Dahlin54c310.56$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.861266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Matteo Martineau46c305.51$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.531,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Matteo Martineau46c280.64$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.792,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed Matteo Martineau36c276.89$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3424546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Matteo Martineau44c248.07$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1514259.2%84 W · 58 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf816…0433backed Max Dahlin57c247.96$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.622850%14 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Matteo Martineau33c242.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.141,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Max Dahlin77c228.32$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.581,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Max Dahlin80c224.7$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.782,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Max Dahlin58c203$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.031,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Matteo Martineau48c203$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4430648.4%148 W · 158 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Matteo Martineau43c200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…3ad7backed Max Dahlin50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Matteo Martineau20c189.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2723530.2%71 W · 164 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Max Dahlin59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4917859%105 W · 73 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Matteo Martineau25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018829.8%56 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…a142backed Matteo Martineau26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Matteo Martineau28c148$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.25,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Matteo Martineau50c127.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.721,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Matteo Martineau47c121.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2173048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Matteo Martineau23c121.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.271,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Matteo Martineau43c119.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.41,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Max Dahlin58c115.16$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.761,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Matteo Martineau50c112.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.962,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Matteo Martineau51c108.11$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1439648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Matteo Martineau45c107.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.759737.1%36 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Matteo Martineau46c105$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6660341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e9e…208cbacked Matteo Martineau44c104.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.152441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91e…dc10backed Matteo Martineau22c101.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225933.9%20 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Matteo Martineau49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8b…3b0ebacked Matteo Martineau43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Matteo Martineau43c99.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.991,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Matteo Martineau23c99.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9927437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Matteo Martineau18c98.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0443144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Matteo Martineau16c95.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.361,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Matteo Martineau47c93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.717,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Matteo Martineau51c88.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.252,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Max Dahlin77c87.45$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8376355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…0685backed Matteo Martineau47c81.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2814757.1%84 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Matteo Martineau46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.91,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Matteo Martineau46c79.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6925134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Matteo Martineau36c75.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.142,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb445…e4a3backed Matteo Martineau21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Matteo Martineau51c70.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0417147.4%81 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Max Dahlin70c68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.11,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Max Dahlin73c67.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3878957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Matteo Martineau30c61.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5819656.6%111 W · 85 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Matteo Martineau44c59.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3434148.1%164 W · 177 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe00b…2a91backed Matteo Martineau23c56.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.963956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4a…ad4cbacked Max Dahlin80c56.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2510438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Matteo Martineau25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1367838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Matteo Martineau48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.854746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Matteo Martineau25c46.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Matteo Martineau44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x583c…86c0backed Matteo Martineau50c40.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.029038.9%35 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe01…b45dbacked Max Dahlin77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.222377.6%173 W · 50 L+0.6wins0.00per pick77cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Max Dahlin69c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.561,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Matteo Martineau50c39.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7535851.7%185 W · 173 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Matteo Martineau30c39.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.911929.4%35 W · 84 L-17.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Matteo Martineau42c39.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5441045.1%185 W · 225 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Matteo Martineau36c39.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1655941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.