CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fdcb7115e9dc5528175688c76a1f78bd1e16d4b6bd7c8cba37429686e4354c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Misa Esports, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 3,864$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.9 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports | 39c | 1,874$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.85 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Misa Esports | 31c | 1,076$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.56 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Misa Esports | 39c | 1,072$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.11 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports | 29c | 936.79$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.31 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Misa Esports | 36c | 866.34$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Bushido Wildcats | 73c | 739.2$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.14 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Misa Esports | 45c | 593.46$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Misa Esports | 39c | 542.68$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.15 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Misa Esports | 10c | 481.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bushido Wildcats | 72c | 440.02$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.58 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 269$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 258.21$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 251.27$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 244.58$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 233.29$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 57c | 194.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 166.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Misa Esports | 25c | 139.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Misa Esports | 15c | 114.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bushido Wildcats | 77c | 113$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Misa Esports | 44c | 90.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 75c | 88.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…dc10backed Misa Esports | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Misa Esports | 43c | 58.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Misa Esports | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 54.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 73c | 41.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Misa Esports | 37c | 41.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 37.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Misa Esports | 40c | 26.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Misa Esports | 40c | 26.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…17bcbacked Misa Esports | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 24.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Bushido Wildcats | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Map Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)Misa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.