TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bonn: Niels McDonald vs Jurij Rodionov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jurij Rodionovof Niels McDonald, Jurij Rodionov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Niels McDonald44c5,595$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.068,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jurij Rodionov74c2,721$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.728,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Niels McDonald53c2,156$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.527724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Niels McDonald30c1,957$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.248331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Niels McDonald64c1,568$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030056.7%170 W · 130 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Jurij Rodionov70c1,043$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.425,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Jurij Rodionov49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4137044.3%164 W · 206 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Jurij Rodionov69c999.99$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31072452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66fe…4443backed Niels McDonald9c933.33$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Jurij Rodionov66c911.02$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.964,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Niels McDonald8c691.47$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jurij Rodionov53c633.11$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.34,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa2…b59cbacked Niels McDonald22c623.55$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13610821.3%23 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Niels McDonald29c600.4$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.123,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Niels McDonald34c599.98$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.257,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Jurij Rodionov73c598$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.972,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7544…e3aebacked Jurij Rodionov55c591.44$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.1518246.7%85 W · 97 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Niels McDonald34c567.65$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1931,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c62…7357backed Niels McDonald35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755625%14 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Niels McDonald10c495.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.751,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0c…66f7backed Niels McDonald21c431.74$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.362138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Niels McDonald31c377.02$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.063,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Niels McDonald14c352.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.953043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf051…acd4backed Niels McDonald44c341.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507851.3%40 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Niels McDonald32c312.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Jurij Rodionov55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7316469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Niels McDonald31c263.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.617,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Jurij Rodionov60c255.2$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3370537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd25…a624backed Niels McDonald50c248.9$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6511553.9%62 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jurij Rodionov54c239$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.748,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Niels McDonald40c236.21$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.322,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Niels McDonald17c233.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.962,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Jurij Rodionov47c219.54$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8923738.8%92 W · 145 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f4…82ebbacked Niels McDonald31c209.37$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648140.7%33 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jurij Rodionov70c203.39$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.596,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Jurij Rodionov50c201.07$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2965942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Jurij Rodionov61c187.77$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2570254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Jurij Rodionov54c176.48$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1843347.3%205 W · 228 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91e…dc10backed Niels McDonald17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305933.9%20 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34f…1cfabacked Niels McDonald59c170.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Niels McDonald32c154.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Jurij Rodionov52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2337238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jurij Rodionov55c141.61$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.562,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Jurij Rodionov70c139.96$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9950268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d9…b1b1backed Niels McDonald18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550736.1%183 W · 324 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Jurij Rodionov65c134.83$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.196,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Niels McDonald43c116.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Niels McDonald53c113.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.341,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Niels McDonald53c112.66$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1895050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Niels McDonald23c112$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.285,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Jurij Rodionov49c104.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0851942.6%221 W · 298 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Jurij Rodionov55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.594447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Jurij Rodionov49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5148242.5%205 W · 277 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Jurij Rodionov70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Niels McDonald34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Jurij Rodionov58c99.41$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5443144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Niels McDonald29c99.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.031,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Jurij Rodionov55c89.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1129149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Jurij Rodionov61c84.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2136545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Niels McDonald30c83.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0699249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Niels McDonald29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Jurij Rodionov58c79.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.311,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a17…5f06backed Niels McDonald53c79.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4213137.4%49 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Jurij Rodionov42c75.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.916,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jurij Rodionov70c71.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.36,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Jurij Rodionov51c67.66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.253,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Niels McDonald31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017140.9%70 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Niels McDonald31c64.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021536.7%79 W · 136 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Jurij Rodionov38c64.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.924,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42f5…56efbacked Jurij Rodionov47c63.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.443040%12 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Niels McDonald34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.454746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Niels McDonald32c58.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.751,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jurij Rodionov75c55.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.047,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jurij Rodionov75c52.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.426,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3c…8e0bbacked Niels McDonald29c52.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157945.6%36 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Jurij Rodionov52c51.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9215651.3%80 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…2c78backed Jurij Rodionov56c44.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.645455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bf…1af6backed Jurij Rodionov71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a2f…7105backed Jurij Rodionov70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x031a…2821backed Niels McDonald29c39.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7233…6520backed Jurij Rodionov70c36.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9310951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6847…f1eabacked Jurij Rodionov69c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1613770.1%96 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf422…6aa5backed Jurij Rodionov73c35.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.58933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…83adbacked Jurij Rodionov75c35.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.923063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+27.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Jurij Rodionov69c34.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6418666.7%124 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Jurij Rodionov71c33.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Jurij Rodionov46c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8234851.1%178 W · 170 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Jurij Rodionov68c31.77$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.172,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Jurij Rodionov70c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.72,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4359…c338backed Niels McDonald54c27.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75152.9%27 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Jurij Rodionov66c27.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.225546.7%119 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Niels McDonald51c23.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1478957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Jurij Rodionov68c23.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4420570.7%145 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Niels McDonald55c20.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0335357.2%202 W · 151 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Jurij Rodionov58c18.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.851,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Jurij Rodionov75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7556153.7%301 W · 260 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.