Tennis · resolved market
Liberec: Duje Ajdukovic vs Khumoun Sultanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c52f8ec30939c105bf5720d41dfcf902949faf66a26d8602fce364a62ab1988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duje Ajdukovicof Duje Ajdukovic, Khumoun Sultanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Khumoun Sultanov | 58c | 8,096$4,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678.1 | 5,041 | 41.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L | -83.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Duje Ajdukovic | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 3,749 | 42.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L | -44.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Khumoun Sultanov | 1c | 4,836$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Khumoun Sultanov | 48c | 3,415$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.6 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Khumoun Sultanov | 54c | 2,869$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.37 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Duje Ajdukovic | 50c | 2,293$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.21 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duje Ajdukovic | 51c | 1,978$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.8 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Khumoun Sultanov | 43c | 1,691$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.65 | 1,564 | 24%376 W · 1,188 L | -43.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Duje Ajdukovic | 57c | 1,599$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.42 | 4,626 | 67.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L | +310.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Duje Ajdukovic | 53c | 1,517$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.99 | 258 | 52.7%136 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Duje Ajdukovic | 45c | 836.45$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.81 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Duje Ajdukovic | 54c | 752.47$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.47 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 55c | 695.41$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.06 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Duje Ajdukovic | 44c | 605.61$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.25 | 2,859 | 47.1%1,348 W · 1,511 L | +37.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Khumoun Sultanov | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 7,129 | 39.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Duje Ajdukovic | 54c | 574.77$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.39 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 43c | 494.19$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.69 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 45c | 443.18$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 3,359 | 48.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L | -49.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Duje Ajdukovic | 56c | 419.53$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.53 | 468 | 55.8%261 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Khumoun Sultanov | 50c | 350.57$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…cf7cbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Duje Ajdukovic | 55c | 300$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.67 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Duje Ajdukovic | 67c | 268.66$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 472 | 50.4%238 W · 234 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Khumoun Sultanov | 11c | 235.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…a766backed Khumoun Sultanov | 7c | 223.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Duje Ajdukovic | 52c | 205$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Khumoun Sultanov | 49c | 191.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…4944backed Duje Ajdukovic | 79c | 190.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 164 | 69.5%114 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…99d8backed Duje Ajdukovic | 52c | 184.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Khumoun Sultanov | 47c | 183.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 1,588 | 42.3%672 W · 916 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Khumoun Sultanov | 46c | 169.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 7,201 | 49.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L | +114.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 55c | 142$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Khumoun Sultanov | 38c | 132.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 79c | 114.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 297 | 54.9%163 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1,023 | 50%511 W · 512 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Duje Ajdukovic | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 465 | 46.5%216 W · 249 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Duje Ajdukovic | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 54c | 99.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 2,053 | 47.8%982 W · 1,071 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Duje Ajdukovic | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 51c | 92.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 1,789 | 46.3%828 W · 961 L | -6.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Khumoun Sultanov | 30c | 88.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Duje Ajdukovic | 50c | 85.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 1,837 | 46.5%855 W · 982 L | +20.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Duje Ajdukovic | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,892 | 57.5%1,087 W · 805 L | +105.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Khumoun Sultanov | 46c | 70.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 326 | 45.1%147 W · 179 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Duje Ajdukovic | 58c | 68.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 2,881 | 49.5%1,427 W · 1,454 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf729…35fbbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 33c | 66.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 46c | 64.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Khumoun Sultanov | 64c | 63.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Khumoun Sultanov | 29c | 61.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 3,731 | 45.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Khumoun Sultanov | 51c | 61.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 6,867 | 48.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L | +61.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Khumoun Sultanov | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Duje Ajdukovic | 52c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Duje Ajdukovic | 53c | 54.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 1,079 | 54.9%592 W · 487 L | +14.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Duje Ajdukovic | 56c | 50.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…b22cbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Khumoun Sultanov | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Duje Ajdukovic | 57c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…3408backed Duje Ajdukovic | 56c | 44.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 55c | 44.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 1,887 | 45.8%864 W · 1,023 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Khumoun Sultanov | 46c | 43.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Khumoun Sultanov | 52c | 42.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 483 | 51.3%248 W · 235 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Duje Ajdukovic | 54c | 42.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Khumoun Sultanov | 42c | 40.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Khumoun Sultanov | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Khumoun Sultanov | 45c | 39.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Khumoun Sultanov | 44c | 39.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 434 | 59.7%259 W · 175 L | +27.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…c2eabacked Khumoun Sultanov | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Khumoun Sultanov | 55c | 34.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1,257 | 52%654 W · 603 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Duje Ajdukovic | 52c | 33.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1,133 | 56.8%643 W · 490 L | +54.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 43c | 31.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Khumoun Sultanov | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 69c | 29.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Duje Ajdukovic | 55c | 28.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 45c | 27.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…8b01backed Khumoun Sultanov | 50c | 22.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Duje Ajdukovic | 73c | 14.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.