Tennis · resolved market
Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc20a84f629d035f02cde0a6e79bb51fd398f2f5cd90ff429237076696391e583
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tom Gentzschof Tom Gentzsch, Joao Lucas Da Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 4c | 26,524$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.96 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 5c | 12,097$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.77 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 5c | 6,674$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.25 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 4c | 2,147$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 5c | 1,463$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 10c | 907.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 32c | 646.55$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.3 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 34c | 600$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.16 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Tom Gentzsch | 66c | 308.83$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Tom Gentzsch | 64c | 223.74$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 19c | 181.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Tom Gentzsch | 64c | 157.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tom Gentzsch | 69c | 148.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 32c | 121.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 30c | 98.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Tom Gentzsch | 68c | 78.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 33c | 69.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Tom Gentzsch | 67c | 58.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 30c | 48.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Tom Gentzsch | 70c | 45.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 33c | 41.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…3408backed Tom Gentzsch | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Tom Gentzsch | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Tom Gentzsch | 67c | 26.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Tom Gentzsch | 71c | 22.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tom Gentzsch | 68c | 20.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Tom Gentzsch | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.