Tennis · resolved market
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Luka Pavlovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa9b2cb13ac66e5ff8d577eda7a53cce91f9005d240fbf8601eef593cfea8255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vilius Gaubasof Vilius Gaubas, Luka Pavlovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Luka Pavlovic | 11c | 3,922$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.39 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Vilius Gaubas | 65c | 2,575$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.92 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Luka Pavlovic | 20c | 2,291$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.88 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vilius Gaubas | 76c | 1,587$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.97 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luka Pavlovic | 17c | 1,480$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Luka Pavlovic | 34c | 1,102$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.26 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Luka Pavlovic | 19c | 945.48$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Luka Pavlovic | 34c | 700.33$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.92 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Luka Pavlovic | 38c | 599.18$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.84 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Vilius Gaubas | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vilius Gaubas | 71c | 432.37$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Luka Pavlovic | 36c | 419.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vilius Gaubas | 73c | 399.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Luka Pavlovic | 36c | 378.14$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Luka Pavlovic | 27c | 363.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Vilius Gaubas | 67c | 356.27$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.67 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 12c | 338.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Vilius Gaubas | 80c | 247$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Luka Pavlovic | 38c | 214.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Vilius Gaubas | 70c | 213.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 19c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Vilius Gaubas | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Luka Pavlovic | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Luka Pavlovic | 34c | 162.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Vilius Gaubas | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Luka Pavlovic | 15c | 151.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Vilius Gaubas | 66c | 149.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…2e68backed Vilius Gaubas | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Luka Pavlovic | 37c | 122.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Luka Pavlovic | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Vilius Gaubas | 74c | 102.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Luka Pavlovic | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Luka Pavlovic | 35c | 92.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Luka Pavlovic | 30c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Vilius Gaubas | 60c | 84.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Luka Pavlovic | 34c | 82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Vilius Gaubas | 66c | 74.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Luka Pavlovic | 34c | 71.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 19c | 71.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Vilius Gaubas | 67c | 59.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…eeb2backed Luka Pavlovic | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Vilius Gaubas | 66c | 53.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 35c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Luka Pavlovic | 35c | 52.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Vilius Gaubas | 65c | 51.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…215fbacked Vilius Gaubas | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…9143backed Vilius Gaubas | 66c | 46.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…0a53backed Vilius Gaubas | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…0af9backed Vilius Gaubas | 65c | 44.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 39c | 42.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Vilius Gaubas | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…3408backed Vilius Gaubas | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Vilius Gaubas | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Vilius Gaubas | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Vilius Gaubas | 77c | 34.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Luka Pavlovic | 35c | 34.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Vilius Gaubas | 59c | 33.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Vilius Gaubas | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Vilius Gaubas | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e104backed Vilius Gaubas | 65c | 22.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Luka Pavlovic | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Vilius Gaubas | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…c2eabacked Vilius Gaubas | 73c | 13.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.