Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b893b2f235d1968f3f0ae6ec57f41e55f6fba2d643916ce7767d89db17361e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mai Hontamaof Kayla Day, Mai Hontama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $537,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $556,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Mai Hontama | 50c | 77,560$38,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,567.33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kayla Day | 53c | 30,809$16,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,309.8 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Kayla Day | 61c | 22,634$13,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,806.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Kayla Day | 61c | 19,391$11,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,828.81 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kayla Day | 55c | 14,293$7,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,815.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Mai Hontama | 32c | 13,226$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,986.28 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Kayla Day | 69c | 12,662$8,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,736.64 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kayla Day | 55c | 11,509$6,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,344.35 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Kayla Day | 62c | 10,696$6,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,624.7 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mai Hontama | 36c | 10,614$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,745.79 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kayla Day | 60c | 10,477$6,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,262.77 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kayla Day | 58c | 9,920$5,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,710.49 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kayla Day | 56c | 7,122$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.48 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kayla Day | 48c | 6,749$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.54 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kayla Day | 43c | 6,193$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.53 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mai Hontama | 46c | 5,138$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.96 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Mai Hontama | 49c | 5,000$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.47 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Kayla Day | 55c | 4,437$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.45 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kayla Day | 54c | 3,284$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.24 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Mai Hontama | 38c | 2,400$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mai Hontama | 48c | 2,285$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.05 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Kayla Day | 68c | 2,212$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Mai Hontama | 42c | 2,078$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.64 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Mai Hontama | 49c | 2,076$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.6 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Kayla Day | 35c | 2,070$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.79 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Kayla Day | 52c | 2,002$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.94 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…bad0backed Mai Hontama | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Kayla Day | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Mai Hontama | 39c | 1,796$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.05 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Kayla Day | 49c | 1,779$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.34 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Mai Hontama | 37c | 1,650$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.6 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mai Hontama | 39c | 1,630$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.31 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Kayla Day | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mai Hontama | 43c | 1,454$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.85 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Mai Hontama | 38c | 1,350$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Kayla Day | 62c | 1,348$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.86 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kayla Day | 54c | 1,346$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.38 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Mai Hontama | 46c | 1,343$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.93 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…2313backed Mai Hontama | 33c | 1,248$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mai Hontama | 37c | 1,142$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.62 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Kayla Day | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Kayla Day | 41c | 1,064$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.66 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…7a97backed Mai Hontama | 21c | 1,032$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.58 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Mai Hontama | 37c | 976.49$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.74 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Mai Hontama | 26c | 956.96$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.15 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kayla Day | 50c | 940.75$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.44 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Mai Hontama | 47c | 936.01$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.53 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Mai Hontama | 72c | 903.33$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.93 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Mai Hontama | 38c | 848.03$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.57 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed Kayla Day | 63c | 752.9$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.33 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kayla Day | 56c | 699.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mai Hontama | 59c | 690.61$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.22 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Kayla Day | 56c | 634.79$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.67 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Mai Hontama | 45c | 632.78$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.99 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Mai Hontama | 43c | 627$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.82 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Kayla Day | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mai Hontama | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Kayla Day | 60c | 599.38$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.6 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Kayla Day | 61c | 562.3$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…1af5backed Mai Hontama | 38c | 553.92$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Mai Hontama | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Mai Hontama | 39c | 501$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.61 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…64bbbacked Kayla Day | 76c | 495.96$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.93 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb99b…984dbacked Kayla Day | 52c | 481.72$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.78 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…20b0backed Kayla Day | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Mai Hontama | 38c | 409.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.37 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Kayla Day | 55c | 407.4$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.97 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Mai Hontama | 48c | 392.46$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.79 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Mai Hontama | 35c | 372.35$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.03 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…6bedbacked Kayla Day | 61c | 361.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…849cbacked Mai Hontama | 55c | 360.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.97 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Mai Hontama | 41c | 346.81$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.62 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Kayla Day | 57c | 341.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.92 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…11b4backed Kayla Day | 53c | 337.28$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.39 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Mai Hontama | 28c | 335.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.79 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Kayla Day | 61c | 334.79$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.22 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Kayla Day | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Kayla Day | 80c | 314.46$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.57 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Mai Hontama | 40c | 311.73$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.76 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Mai Hontama | 38c | 310$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mai Hontama | 47c | 309.12$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.64 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mai Hontama | 45c | 303.95$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.17 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Kayla Day | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Mai Hontama | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kayla Day | 70c | 294$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.18 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Mai Hontama | 46c | 289.26$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.54 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…f4f1backed Mai Hontama | 46c | 252.57$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Kayla Day | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Mai Hontama | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Kayla Day | 63c | 245$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Mai Hontama | 38c | 241.47$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e81…2ce7backed Mai Hontama | 34c | 240.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Mai Hontama | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Mai Hontama | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 281 | 54.8%154 W · 127 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Mai Hontama | 41c | 211.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.07 | 306 | 48.4%148 W · 158 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Mai Hontama | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Mai Hontama | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…8fc0backed Kayla Day | 21c | 186.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Mai Hontama | 38c | 179.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mai Hontama | 37c | 177.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 309 | 31.1%96 W · 213 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontamathis page
- Day vs. Hontama: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Day vs HontamaDay won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.