Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Ariana Arseneault vs Annabelle Xu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5765b9695a85d58e945f69da7fddd85e100eedb3da1fe6ac5766e1519b743a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ariana Arseneaultof Ariana Arseneault, Annabelle Xu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Annabelle Xu | 13c | 18,207$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.92 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…24febacked Ariana Arseneault | 75c | 15,194$11,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Ariana Arseneault | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Annabelle Xu | 19c | 6,735$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Annabelle Xu | 18c | 4,498$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.07 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Annabelle Xu | 19c | 4,346$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.44 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Annabelle Xu | 17c | 3,783$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.34 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Annabelle Xu | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Annabelle Xu | 15c | 3,195$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.48 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Ariana Arseneault | 78c | 2,510$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.42 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Annabelle Xu | 25c | 1,790$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.58 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Annabelle Xu | 16c | 1,754$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.72 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Ariana Arseneault | 79c | 1,656$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.55 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Annabelle Xu | 10c | 1,558$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.46 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Ariana Arseneault | 77c | 1,373$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.4 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ariana Arseneault | 79c | 1,334$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.04 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Annabelle Xu | 19c | 1,260$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Annabelle Xu | 16c | 1,218$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.16 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Annabelle Xu | 33c | 1,096$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.9 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Annabelle Xu | 18c | 1,050$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ariana Arseneault | 72c | 1,049$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.8 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Annabelle Xu | 25c | 1,011$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.84 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Annabelle Xu | 27c | 810.09$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.31 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Annabelle Xu | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Annabelle Xu | 2c | 783$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Annabelle Xu | 20c | 628.05$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.81 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Annabelle Xu | 17c | 592.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ariana Arseneault | 80c | 543.43$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Ariana Arseneault | 75c | 536.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ariana Arseneault | 75c | 523.11$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.97 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Annabelle Xu | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Annabelle Xu | 20c | 465.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Annabelle Xu | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Annabelle Xu | 19c | 277.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Ariana Arseneault | 78c | 257$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Annabelle Xu | 24c | 254.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Annabelle Xu | 21c | 238.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Annabelle Xu | 29c | 205.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Annabelle Xu | 19c | 205.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…650bbacked Annabelle Xu | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Annabelle Xu | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Annabelle Xu | 12c | 169.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Annabelle Xu | 18c | 155$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Annabelle Xu | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Annabelle Xu | 21c | 138.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…cc2ebacked Ariana Arseneault | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Annabelle Xu | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ariana Arseneault | 78c | 107.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Ariana Arseneault | 75c | 106.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…bb08backed Ariana Arseneault | 77c | 105.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Ariana Arseneault | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Annabelle Xu | 20c | 90.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Annabelle Xu | 20c | 89.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Ariana Arseneault | 71c | 88.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Annabelle Xu | 22c | 87.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Annabelle Xu | 13c | 81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Annabelle Xu | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Annabelle Xu | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Annabelle Xu | 15c | 67.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…0d78backed Ariana Arseneault | 80c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Ariana Arseneault | 76c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Annabelle Xu | 21c | 60.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…9fd7backed Annabelle Xu | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Annabelle Xu | 27c | 58.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a3…c1e3backed Ariana Arseneault | 76c | 55.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Annabelle Xu | 19c | 55.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Annabelle Xu | 32c | 53.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Annabelle Xu | 27c | 43.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Ariana Arseneault | 80c | 42.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Annabelle Xu | 32c | 42.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Ariana Arseneault | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Ariana Arseneault | 76c | 37.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…83c2backed Annabelle Xu | 32c | 31.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 201 | 28.4%57 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…85debacked Ariana Arseneault | 78c | 30.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ariana Arseneault | 77c | 29.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Ariana Arseneault | 74c | 25.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Ariana Arseneault | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Ariana Arseneault | 80c | 21.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…6c17backed Ariana Arseneault | 76c | 18.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Ariana Arseneault | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…6532backed Ariana Arseneault | 71c | 17.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x487c…75a4backed Ariana Arseneault | 80c | 17.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 78cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Ariana Arseneault | 76c | 17.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Ariana Arseneault | 76c | 16.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Ariana Arseneault | 76c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Ariana Arseneault | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver: Ariana Arseneault vs Annabelle Xuthis page
- Arseneault vs. Xu: Match O/U 23.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.