Tennis · resolved market
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Roger Pascual vs Colton Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55f32ee666306aa407a3a85e51b10fcf8b66ec6ee962b3e32319fac98905ab2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roger Pascualof Roger Pascual, Colton Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Colton Smith | 45c | 13,468$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Colton Smith | 73c | 9,369$6,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,866.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Roger Pascual | 41c | 6,275$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.59 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Colton Smith | 46c | 6,027$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.81 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Roger Pascual | 44c | 5,429$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.99 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Colton Smith | 28c | 5,284$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.17 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Colton Smith | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…ee18backed Roger Pascual | 78c | 3,935$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.59 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Colton Smith | 58c | 3,574$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.62 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Roger Pascual | 36c | 3,473$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.44 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Roger Pascual | 55c | 3,239$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.33 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Colton Smith | 42c | 2,888$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.16 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Roger Pascual | 58c | 2,633$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.86 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…9ca2backed Roger Pascual | 59c | 2,563$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.48 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Roger Pascual | 20c | 2,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.5 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Roger Pascual | 33c | 2,211$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.45 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…e22bbacked Roger Pascual | 80c | 2,133$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.68 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Colton Smith | 57c | 1,670$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.9 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked Colton Smith | 80c | 1,262$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…3c18backed Colton Smith | 80c | 1,209$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.93 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Colton Smith | 75c | 1,150$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.44 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Colton Smith | 21c | 1,138$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.43 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Roger Pascual | 38c | 1,001$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.12 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Colton Smith | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed Colton Smith | 66c | 968.86$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…a25cbacked Colton Smith | 25c | 900$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colton Smith | 55c | 835.81$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.31 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Colton Smith | 40c | 821.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.08 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Colton Smith | 57c | 814.51$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.04 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Roger Pascual | 40c | 801.01$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.18 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Roger Pascual | 61c | 757.91$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.61 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Roger Pascual | 25c | 739$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.64 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Roger Pascual | 25c | 733.53$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.49 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed Colton Smith | 57c | 713.47$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Roger Pascual | 52c | 700$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.65 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Roger Pascual | 40c | 659.54$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.45 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Roger Pascual | 47c | 649.69$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.64 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Colton Smith | 67c | 595.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Roger Pascual | 64c | 587.01$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.19 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Roger Pascual | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Roger Pascual | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Roger Pascual | 70c | 543.6$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…60f7backed Colton Smith | 70c | 492.29$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Colton Smith | 76c | 478.63$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.8 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Colton Smith | 75c | 476.76$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.57 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Colton Smith | 3c | 436$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Roger Pascual | 54c | 434.38$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.94 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…fcfcbacked Roger Pascual | 19c | 425.49$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Roger Pascual | 36c | 423.57$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.8 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Roger Pascual | 37c | 418.52$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.19 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Roger Pascual | 44c | 382.06$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.06 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Colton Smith | 71c | 377.22$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.07 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Roger Pascual | 44c | 377$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.12 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Colton Smith | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Roger Pascual | 16c | 360.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.66 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Roger Pascual | 29c | 349.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.34 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Roger Pascual | 77c | 345.6$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Roger Pascual | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…5a06backed Roger Pascual | 45c | 339.42$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Roger Pascual | 35c | 319.22$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.66 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Colton Smith | 72c | 303.49$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…6acabacked Roger Pascual | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…809cbacked Roger Pascual | 70c | 291.63$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Colton Smith | 71c | 285.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.05 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Roger Pascual | 51c | 273.55$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.91 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…31bfbacked Colton Smith | 60c | 269.95$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Roger Pascual | 45c | 263.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colton Smith | 67c | 242.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.32 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Colton Smith | 76c | 239$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.64 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Colton Smith | 63c | 236.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Colton Smith | 74c | 235.14$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…5b60backed Colton Smith | 44c | 229.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Roger Pascual | 45c | 218.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Roger Pascual | 61c | 210.64$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Colton Smith | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Roger Pascual | 27c | 206.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…37b5backed Colton Smith | 42c | 204.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Roger Pascual | 42c | 200.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.52 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Roger Pascual | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Colton Smith | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Roger Pascual | 34c | 198$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Roger Pascual | 39c | 189$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Roger Pascual | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Roger Pascual | 27c | 188.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.19 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Colton Smith | 31c | 187.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…ed02backed Colton Smith | 22c | 184.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Roger Pascual | 34c | 184.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.84 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…de77backed Colton Smith | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Roger Pascual | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Roger Pascual | 44c | 180.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Colton Smith | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Roger Pascual | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb032…fd99backed Roger Pascual | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7f…cdffbacked Colton Smith | 79c | 159.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Colton Smith | 74c | 155.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Roger Pascual | 37c | 150.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Roger Pascual | 53c | 150.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Roger Pascual | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Roger Pascual | 33c | 149.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Roger Pascual | 20c | 146.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.97 | 103 | 10.7%11 W · 92 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Roger Pascual vs Colton Smiththis page
- Set 1 Winner: Pascual vs SmithSmith won
- Set Handicap: Smith (-1.5) vs Pascual (+1.5)Pascual won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.