Tennis · resolved market
ITF Dallas: Sebastian Gorzny vs Landon Ardila
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd77f714a3086571adf0cd75c034202fe23c59076529271854f84fa5e96dea83c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Landon Ardilaof Sebastian Gorzny, Landon Ardila
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Landon Ardila | 72c | 6,380$4,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.44 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 37c | 3,240$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.04 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…4089backed Sebastian Gorzny | 31c | 2,505$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.69 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Landon Ardila | 27c | 1,222$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.22 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sebastian Gorzny | 29c | 1,186$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.94 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Sebastian Gorzny | 24c | 927.5$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.51 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 27c | 851.11$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.8 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Sebastian Gorzny | 25c | 595.88$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Landon Ardila | 35c | 474.29$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.29 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Landon Ardila | 27c | 430.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.92 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 22c | 412.27$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Landon Ardila | 32c | 395.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.04 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Sebastian Gorzny | 27c | 365.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Sebastian Gorzny | 26c | 340.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 29c | 309$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Landon Ardila | 26c | 242.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Sebastian Gorzny | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Landon Ardila | 32c | 159.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Sebastian Gorzny | 37c | 145.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Sebastian Gorzny | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Sebastian Gorzny | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Landon Ardila | 75c | 134.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Sebastian Gorzny | 54c | 128.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Sebastian Gorzny | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Landon Ardila | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Landon Ardila | 32c | 87.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Landon Ardila | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Landon Ardila | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Sebastian Gorzny | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Landon Ardila | 30c | 65.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Landon Ardila | 78c | 64.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Landon Ardila | 68c | 62.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Landon Ardila | 27c | 49.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Landon Ardila | 32c | 46.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 27c | 42.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 57c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Landon Ardila | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Landon Ardila | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Landon Ardila | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9250…6f76backed Sebastian Gorzny | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.