TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde67…bab9backed Under67c5,462$3,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.8614852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under41c3,120$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.971,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4228…b838backed Over54c3,085$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.832846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under47c3,015$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.052,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Over49c2,043$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.348951.5%252 W · 237 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Over28c1,878$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.484632.6%15 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over22c1,806$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.069460.6%57 W · 37 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked Over40c946.53$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-70.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over59c908.41$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.962,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under54c873.68$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.341,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x95f1…9087backed Over48c811.13$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.39616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-78.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Over62c800.53$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.1229944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Over28c795.92$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.311,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Over53c749.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9952538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under40c650$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39020036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under46c611.22$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.241,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under38c576$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.28045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Over60c546.25$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.7560053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Over59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2954665.2%30 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026344.9%118 W · 145 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe96f…22a2backed Over59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over53c499.57$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.562,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Over61c489.6$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30059558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Over59c435.52$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.964252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Over63c396.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25031849.7%158 W · 160 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…052abacked Over59c343.4$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.611435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under61c331.14$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.413,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Under61c327.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.619052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked Over63c313.13$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2717745.2%80 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over40c306.67$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.781,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Over60c246.33$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.828341%116 W · 167 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a08…47afbacked Under63c238.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5919346.6%90 W · 103 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Over41c237.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987334.2%25 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed Over41c236.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975038%19 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2363…ed78backed Over30c229.63$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over49c213.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.721,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Under51c213.29$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.518542.4%36 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Under40c213.28$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.481540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under68c212.61$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3646452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1267944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623151.6%16 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Under41c199.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9921548.4%104 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over41c199.69$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.621,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under57c187.91$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x729d…d851backed Over40c184.65$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.761833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over39c184.62$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7224235.5%86 W · 156 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c9…c1dcbacked Over60c183.12$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under60c172.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.248844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over59c170.74$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7489050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c165.46$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.312,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…f437backed Under61c163.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.855257.7%30 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over29c163.53$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6134742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over26c158.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6732442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over27c150$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.131439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.521747%102 W · 115 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under40c136.61$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4322748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over33c129.11$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0770443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed Over41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.13525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-40.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under58c108$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3812430.6%38 W · 86 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over61c102.74$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6721754.8%119 W · 98 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over13c101.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6321233%70 W · 142 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Under37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6341343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.36051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Over27c91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.487847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.221,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over42c71.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2524832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Over58c71.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.431,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under38c68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.11942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d72…2d0bbacked Over75c66.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012052.5%63 W · 57 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed Over48c64.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.112741.7%53 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a1b…67b1backed Under41c58.54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.549561.1%58 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over58c57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.251,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…dcd0backed Over31c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd78c…fbfdbacked Under39c51.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.710339.8%41 W · 62 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6488…d4cabacked Under42c50.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbc6…464cbacked Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235747.4%27 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1483…48fabacked Over61c48.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304946.9%23 W · 26 L-8.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-27.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3965754.5%358 W · 299 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018342.1%77 W · 106 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under37c47.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.798750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under52c44.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.524544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ac3…eda2backed Under77c42.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.74332.6%14 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd16b…36c0backed Under60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6747854%258 W · 220 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e03…5c0abacked Over63c41.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Under52c41.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9253047.2%250 W · 280 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0358…30e2backed Under76c39.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.486984.1%58 W · 11 L+15.9wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+36.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over55c39.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.642,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Under38c39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.182556%14 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed Under40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.538144.6%170 W · 211 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dca…d9f3backed Over75c35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.253256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over59c33.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.711,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over59c33.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5241156.7%233 W · 178 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Over49c33.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2514042.1%59 W · 81 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Over66c30.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033263.6%211 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under60c30.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.061,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb09f…6382backed Over35c28.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…d8b3backed Over53c28.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.