Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0984dc677fdad421eaa08cc91f151d7744000f6b94e6320a9a458a28ceaf1d3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Under | 50c | 1,869$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.4 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 52c | 899.98$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.99 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 47c | 876.48$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.95 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 197 | 31%61 W · 136 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Over | 50c | 334$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Over | 50c | 260.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Under | 49c | 202.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 52c | 155$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Over | 50c | 99.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Over | 13c | 84.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…25c5backed Over | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 35.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 50c | 31.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 393 | 52.4%206 W · 187 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…be06backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…3513backed Under | 79c | 18.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.