Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Heather Watson vs Mayar Sherif
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e31135bf9e35acd3cf647a4e1ff5e4bb25af94e3701a1a53080c97399f17dd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heather Watsonof Heather Watson, Mayar Sherif
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Heather Watson | 66c | 3,330$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mayar Sherif | 15c | 2,990$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.56 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mayar Sherif | 35c | 2,167$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.21 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Heather Watson | 62c | 1,773$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.21 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mayar Sherif | 9c | 1,617$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Heather Watson | 58c | 1,354$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.71 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Heather Watson | 74c | 1,238$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.64 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Heather Watson | 58c | 1,030$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.71 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mayar Sherif | 37c | 999.99$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.07 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Mayar Sherif | 3c | 959.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mayar Sherif | 36c | 770.55$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Mayar Sherif | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Mayar Sherif | 34c | 669.07$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.49 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mayar Sherif | 38c | 626.88$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.21 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Mayar Sherif | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Mayar Sherif | 35c | 539.86$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.95 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mayar Sherif | 32c | 533.38$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.36 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mayar Sherif | 20c | 510.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Mayar Sherif | 37c | 487.89$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.54 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mayar Sherif | 34c | 480.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.11 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Mayar Sherif | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Mayar Sherif | 33c | 422.92$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Mayar Sherif | 35c | 403.4$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.19 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Heather Watson | 66c | 393.94$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.94 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Heather Watson | 62c | 323$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Heather Watson | 66c | 318.48$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e2…3eb0backed Heather Watson | 63c | 313.21$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -7.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mayar Sherif | 34c | 293.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Mayar Sherif | 37c | 290.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mayar Sherif | 38c | 290.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Mayar Sherif | 6c | 280.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Heather Watson | 66c | 243.08$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Mayar Sherif | 32c | 232.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Mayar Sherif | 13c | 231.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Mayar Sherif | 33c | 216.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mayar Sherif | 37c | 216$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Mayar Sherif | 32c | 214$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Heather Watson | 60c | 212.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Mayar Sherif | 32c | 202$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Heather Watson | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Mayar Sherif | 35c | 191.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Mayar Sherif | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Mayar Sherif | 45c | 183.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Heather Watson | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mayar Sherif | 26c | 146.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Heather Watson | 66c | 142.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heather Watson | 53c | 141.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Heather Watson | 61c | 138.21$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Heather Watson | 65c | 135.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Mayar Sherif | 46c | 129.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Mayar Sherif | 24c | 125.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Mayar Sherif | 35c | 119.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Heather Watson | 61c | 111.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Heather Watson | 64c | 110.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Mayar Sherif | 33c | 103.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Heather Watson | 58c | 103.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Heather Watson | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Heather Watson | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Heather Watson | 65c | 94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Heather Watson | 63c | 88.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Mayar Sherif | 37c | 76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Mayar Sherif | 36c | 74.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Mayar Sherif | 34c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Mayar Sherif | 32c | 71.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Heather Watson | 67c | 65.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Mayar Sherif | 39c | 63.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Heather Watson | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mayar Sherif | 26c | 59.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mayar Sherif | 35c | 57.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Heather Watson | 67c | 55.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Mayar Sherif | 28c | 53.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Heather Watson | 64c | 52.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Mayar Sherif | 33c | 52.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xadde…ec24backed Mayar Sherif | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Mayar Sherif | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Mayar Sherif | 31c | 49.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…cd20backed Mayar Sherif | 38c | 44.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Heather Watson | 71c | 42.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 217 | 65.9%143 W · 74 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Heather Watson | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Mayar Sherif | 39c | 38.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Mayar Sherif | 35c | 38.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Heather Watson | 63c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Heather Watson | 58c | 34.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Mayar Sherif | 37c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…5ccabacked Mayar Sherif | 35c | 32.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…f8e8backed Heather Watson | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Heather Watson | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Heather Watson | 66c | 30.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Heather Watson | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Heather Watson | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Heather Watson | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Mayar Sherif | 39c | 29.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Heather Watson | 55c | 28.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Mayar Sherif | 38c | 27.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Mayar Sherif | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Heather Watson | 75c | 24.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Heather Watson | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Heather Watson | 66c | 20.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Heather Watson | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Heather Watson | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Heather Watson vs Mayar Sherifthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Watson vs SherifWatson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.