TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,727 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3c7…bf04backed Under66c132.99$88 inWon+$45.328758.6%51 W · 36 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Over33c121.21$40 inLost-$4028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under68c120.86$82 inWon+$38.6867354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under65c113.6$74 inWon+$39.7619037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3396…2448backed Under68c112$76 inWon+$35.977746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd5…6a99backed Under67c104.48$70 inWon+$34.4811857.6%68 W · 50 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over32c100$32 inLost-$322,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6912…c24ebacked Over35c85.71$30 inLost-$3013125.2%33 W · 98 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6463…e8fdbacked Over37c80.99$30 inLost-$303647.2%17 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e6f…f8e8backed Under67c80.83$54 inWon+$26.672166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Over34c76.38$26 inLost-$25.842336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over32c66.11$21 inLost-$21.441,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under62c65.46$41 inWon+$24.882,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over33c62.5$21 inLost-$20.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f1…478bbacked Under69c50$35 inWon+$15.512948.8%63 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under66c44.53$30 inWon+$14.953,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34eb…58c0backed Over34c43.83$15 inLost-$152025%5 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8967…9e72backed Over34c43.06$15 inLost-$14.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc27e…47ebbacked Under66c39.98$26 inWon+$13.594146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c70…14a8backed Over32c31.25$10 inLost-$102123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c3…ef9fbacked Under67c15.15$10 inWon+$5.077735.1%27 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.