Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c97e85cd762a5b11365e073f69bdccb0493dbc2a894e12011668ea4bd999d29

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $51,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,414 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	32c	19,404$6,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,166.71	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Under	71c	8,500$5,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,504.99	77	62.3%48 W · 29 L	+12.1wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	68c	7,269$4,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,354.95	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Over	28c	3,558$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	89	13.5%12 W · 77 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under	72c	3,023$2,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$853.66	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	67c	1,850$1,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.54	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	29c	1,628$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.62	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over	13c	1,529$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.97	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	70c	951.71$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.62	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	69c	930.36$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.49	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	67c	892$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.36	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over	29c	871.78$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.82	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under	69c	868.74$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.74	150	48%72 W · 78 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	68c	802.25$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.72	508	50%254 W · 254 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Over	29c	700$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	77c	631.91$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.47	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	67c	599.99$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under	70c	574.74$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.08	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over	26c	572.96$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.97	407	36.6%149 W · 258 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	69c	566.56$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.01	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d6…89abbacked Over	29c	517.24$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed Under	67c	499.99$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb59…6ca3backed Over	28c	363$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over	29c	350$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.5	125	34.4%43 W · 82 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Over	30c	342.37$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.71	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4e…163ebacked Over	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Under	68c	323.53$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.53	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over	29c	317.24$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	116	34.5%40 W · 76 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over	29c	303.45$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	360	24.4%88 W · 272 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcafd…cde6backed Under	74c	250.15$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.15	66	50%33 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae9c…63b7backed Over	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	67c	235.71$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.78	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Over	29c	206.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	61	16.4%10 W · 51 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf596…7667backed Over	24c	206.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba1…88c1backed Over	32c	200$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Under	68c	199.99$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc9…62b2backed Over	31c	193.97$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	22c	182.14$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	71c	175.86$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.86	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over	31c	174.19$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-42%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	32c	140$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over	29c	137.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Over	17c	123.34$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.74	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	20c	116.82$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.36	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf04…90b5backed Over	33c	114.64$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.83	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83ed…3851backed Over	29c	100.28$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.08	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	481	47.8%230 W · 251 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over	30c	90$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	365	34.2%125 W · 240 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over	28c	89.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	80c	71.43$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.29	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb263…307ebacked Over	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x120e…8907backed Under	72c	69.44$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	101	55.4%56 W · 45 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked Under	67c	68.43$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.58	162	60.5%98 W · 64 L	+22.3wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+29%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Under	71c	65.69$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.73	127	50.4%64 W · 63 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over	29c	63$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.27	984	39.2%386 W · 598 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a31…80d4backed Over	29c	36$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0188…afc3backed Under	71c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e47…0720backed Under	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	71cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca96…9e7ebacked Under	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	68cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9f…0c25backed Under	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	147	66%97 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under	69c	25.43$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.79	785	59.7%469 W · 316 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	70c	25.37$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under	70c	23.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	858	51.2%439 W · 419 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf78…0015backed Under	74c	20.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.27	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
Spain vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event