Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 6.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9f44bf31ef116bf46d842bb04b4991237de3161d671a2990763eb6f0558bf55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked Under | 55c | 4,749$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.26 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c12…405dbacked Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Over | 45c | 1,319$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d7…436ebacked Under | 57c | 1,027$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 664.84$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.09 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 11c | 541.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.91 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 42c | 528.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.51 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 55c | 370.27$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.62 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 44c | 321.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 217$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 45c | 204$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed Under | 54c | 163.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 60c | 138$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 42c | 118.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…6495backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 55.4%87 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…f09fbacked Over | 48c | 100.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 56c | 89.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…ad59backed Over | 41c | 80.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Over | 44c | 77.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Under | 52c | 74.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +49%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 29c | 73.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 44c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…e1b0backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 45c | 59.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…4976backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c70…14a8backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…19afbacked Over | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…7df5backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 45c | 42.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 44c | 39.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…41f2backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Over | 38c | 31.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d41…7c1abacked Over | 45c | 30.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 48c | 27.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 6.5 Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.