Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x081d065ec26fab1e77beb001b9771bc8012573436234279478d9154a7781153b

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $10,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,768 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	33c	1,885$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.49	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	29c	1,872$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,329.29	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	64c	1,563$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.92	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under	30c	874.08$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.86	858	51.2%439 W · 419 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	34c	599.98$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.99	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	29c	575.11$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.43	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d9…708dbacked Over	69c	527.08$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.68	93	72%67 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	71cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over	71c	510$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.1	190	62.6%119 W · 71 L	+13.0wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6abd…94ecbacked Over	71c	422.54$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	3c	342.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over	30c	332.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.84	246	35.8%88 W · 158 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over	66c	303.03$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	562	40.6%228 W · 334 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…0b63backed Over	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	109	45%49 W · 60 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0785…5405backed Over	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Under	70c	285.81$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.81	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-6.1wins	-0.18per pick	41cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbaa5…1e09backed Over	69c	228$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.32	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed Over	67c	220.87$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.98	58	67.2%39 W · 19 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Over	20c	200.49$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	253	28.1%71 W · 182 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…65ccbacked Over	67c	149.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb34d…5222backed Over	69c	145.81$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	77	26%20 W · 57 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183a…d514backed Over	71c	140.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2843…b3d2backed Over	59c	140.76$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.82	210	58.1%122 W · 88 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	31c	124.99$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.79	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Over	67c	117.91$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	149	53%79 W · 70 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Over	71c	112.28$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d5…720fbacked Over	71c	111.27$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over	11c	110.89$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	39cpaid	+63.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x15b8…313bbacked Over	71c	105.63$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Under	72c	81.99$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.96	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+6.9wins	+0.15per pick	36cpaid	+49%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Over	33c	74.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	239	51.9%124 W · 115 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Over	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	221	47.1%104 W · 117 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1853…6c81backed Over	71c	70.42$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	105	53.3%56 W · 49 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e32…a4dcbacked Over	71c	64.86$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.05	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe56…093dbacked Over	66c	60.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	50	56%28 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x056a…22f7backed Over	28c	58.57$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	208	14.4%30 W · 178 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d07…c1c2backed Under	70c	55.57$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.86	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-3.8wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa58b…ef84backed Under	52c	49.47$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.87	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1f4…5344backed Under	31c	48.39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.39	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…ab1ebacked Under	31c	48.39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.39	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over	66c	45.44$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	31c	44.98$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.04	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…0720backed Over	72c	41.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	71cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7838…3e84backed Over	72c	41.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…c471backed Over	72c	41.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…e7f0backed Over	71c	41.09$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.17	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	55c	40.88$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.34	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa32…99a6backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x114f…f117backed Over	69c	39.13$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7561…6d1abacked Over	71c	38.97$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.67	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under	74c	38.1$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.94	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Over	69c	36.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	76	65.8%50 W · 26 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	70c	33.58$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.51	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	45c	30.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	823	40.9%337 W · 486 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf35f…72b5backed Over	65c	30.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over	52c	30.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.81	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d01…9b25backed Over	71c	29.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.29	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.29per pick	63cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f80…7047backed Over	67c	29.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	57.9%44 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under	77c	28.08$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.36	190	64.2%122 W · 68 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc00…e1b0backed Over	72c	27.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb31c…e5a1backed Over	67c	22.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	117	40.2%47 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe05c…6ac6backed Over	67c	22.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	33	72.7%24 W · 9 L	+3.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb93…94cfbacked Under	61c	22.11$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.69	66	68.2%45 W · 21 L	+11.0wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb896…f19fbacked Over	65c	20.52$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.34	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa6…0b79backed Over	71c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a03…1c04backed Over	71c	16.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.43	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	65cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
Spain vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event