Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89234b6a0c475493839141f2e92edc109d0e3fed097fc25bd58c6dece75dfc9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Over | 45c | 1,348$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 56c | 992.24$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.3 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 56c | 469.05$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.54 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 55c | 231.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…61eabacked Over | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Over | 40c | 148.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over | 35c | 126.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b28…7f1bbacked Over | 44c | 114.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 25c | 100.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked Under | 55c | 92.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 46c | 82.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 56c | 78.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Over | 56c | 65.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 45c | 57.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 53c | 56.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ee…c9cdbacked Under | 55c | 49.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 43c | 46.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under | 56c | 39.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Under | 56c | 39.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 44c | 33.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Over | 38c | 31.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e7…d258backed Over | 75c | 26.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd6…c388backed Under | 54c | 25.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 20.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.