Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda947fb4ec3083d4c802f3bf106f1f2eaed1968d23bb5f2e6d1afc54423488e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5415…f764backed Over | 26c | 2,943$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.09 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 73c | 1,957$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.95 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…91cebacked Over | 20c | 1,006$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.26 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 20c | 710.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 74c | 556.94$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.57 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 17c | 550.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 524.63$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308c…344ebacked Over | 10c | 335.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…b9cdbacked Over | 20c | 255.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…093dbacked Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 19c | 250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed Over | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…14a2backed Over | 8c | 189.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2c…4da8backed Over | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 18c | 166.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 79c | 158.72$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…8e3fbacked Under | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…009bbacked Over | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 21c | 139.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad74…e90bbacked Under | 78c | 133.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 19c | 131.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 19c | 131.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 17c | 118.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 78c | 112.57$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…13a5backed Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 154 | 32.5%50 W · 104 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Over | 22c | 103.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…7eb1backed Under | 79c | 100.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…cf5fbacked Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Over | 19c | 92.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 20c | 86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 21c | 59.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 80c | 43.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked Under | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 75c | 39.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…0720backed Under | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 71c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 80c | 20.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.